Recent PAGASA forecasts and global model consensus point to partly cloudy skies with isolated afternoon thunderstorms over Metro Manila on September 20, driven by the prevailing southwest monsoon and lingering moisture from a distant low-pressure system. These conditions limit solar insolation and promote convective cooling, positioning daily maximum temperatures near 31–32 °C—aligning with the market’s leading 32 °C outcome at 40.5 % implied probability. Historical September baselines average 29–31 °C highs under similar monsoon regimes, while current short-range runs show limited potential for clearer skies that could push readings to 34 °C or above. Updated PAGASA briefings and next GFS/ECMWF cycles through the weekend will refine steering patterns and cloud timing ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Manila on September 20?
Highest temperature in Manila on September 20?
32°C 41%
33°C 23%
31°C 17%
35°C 17%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 20, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
7%
30°C
10%
31°C
17%
32°C
41%
33°C
27%
34°C
16%
35°C
17%
36°C
11%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 41%
33°C 23%
31°C 17%
35°C 17%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 20, 2026
28°C or below
$0 KL.
<1%
29°C
$0 KL.
7%
30°C
$2 KL.
10%
31°C
$0 KL.
17%
32°C
$974 KL.
41%
33°C
$4 KL.
27%
34°C
$0 KL.
16%
35°C
$0 KL.
17%
36°C
$0 KL.
11%
37°C
$117 KL.
<1%
38°C or higher
$181 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts and global model consensus point to partly cloudy skies with isolated afternoon thunderstorms over Metro Manila on September 20, driven by the prevailing southwest monsoon and lingering moisture from a distant low-pressure system. These conditions limit solar insolation and promote convective cooling, positioning daily maximum temperatures near 31–32 °C—aligning with the market’s leading 32 °C outcome at 40.5 % implied probability. Historical September baselines average 29–31 °C highs under similar monsoon regimes, while current short-range runs show limited potential for clearer skies that could push readings to 34 °C or above. Updated PAGASA briefings and next GFS/ECMWF cycles through the weekend will refine steering patterns and cloud timing ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,278Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts and global model consensus point to partly cloudy skies with isolated afternoon thunderstorms over Metro Manila on September 20, driven by the prevailing southwest monsoon and lingering moisture from a distant low-pressure system. These conditions limit solar insolation and promote convective cooling, positioning daily maximum temperatures near 31–32 °C—aligning with the market’s leading 32 °C outcome at 40.5 % implied probability. Historical September baselines average 29–31 °C highs under similar monsoon regimes, while current short-range runs show limited potential for clearer skies that could push readings to 34 °C or above. Updated PAGASA briefings and next GFS/ECMWF cycles through the weekend will refine steering patterns and cloud timing ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,278Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent PAGASA forecasts and global model consensus point to partly cloudy skies with isolated afternoon thunderstorms over Metro Manila on September 20, driven by the prevailing southwest monsoon and lingering moisture from a distant low-pressure system. These conditions limit solar insolation and promote convective cooling, positioning daily maximum temperatures near 31–32 °C—aligning with the market’s leading 32 °C outcome at 40.5 % implied probability. Historical September baselines average 29–31 °C highs under similar monsoon regimes, while current short-range runs show limited potential for clearer skies that could push readings to 34 °C or above. Updated PAGASA briefings and next GFS/ECMWF cycles through the weekend will refine steering patterns and cloud timing ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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