Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and ensemble models point to a San Francisco low near 58°F on September 20, driven by a strengthening marine layer with stratus and onshore westerly flow off the cool Pacific. The California Current and coastal upwelling maintain ocean temperatures around 55–58°F, limiting overnight radiative cooling and producing typical late-summer lows close to the 1991–2020 average of 55.8°F. Recent model runs show consistent marine-layer depth and wind patterns with minimal spread, supporting the market’s 52% implied probability on the 58–59°F bin while assigning lower odds to warmer or cooler outcomes. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycle tonight will refine the final reading.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in San Francisco on September 20?
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on September 20?
58-59°F 59%
56-57°F 39%
62-63°F 39%
54-55°F 18%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 20, 2026
51°F or below
7%
52-53°F
11%
54-55°F
18%
56-57°F
39%
58-59°F
52%
60-61°F
24%
62-63°F
39%
64-65°F
11%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
2%
70°F or higher
2%
58-59°F 59%
56-57°F 39%
62-63°F 39%
54-55°F 18%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 20, 2026
51°F or below
$0 KL.
7%
52-53°F
$0 KL.
11%
54-55°F
$0 KL.
18%
56-57°F
$0 KL.
39%
58-59°F
$80 KL.
52%
60-61°F
$55 KL.
24%
62-63°F
$0 KL.
39%
64-65°F
$0 KL.
11%
66-67°F
$0 KL.
3%
68-69°F
$0 KL.
2%
70°F or higher
$0 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and ensemble models point to a San Francisco low near 58°F on September 20, driven by a strengthening marine layer with stratus and onshore westerly flow off the cool Pacific. The California Current and coastal upwelling maintain ocean temperatures around 55–58°F, limiting overnight radiative cooling and producing typical late-summer lows close to the 1991–2020 average of 55.8°F. Recent model runs show consistent marine-layer depth and wind patterns with minimal spread, supporting the market’s 52% implied probability on the 58–59°F bin while assigning lower odds to warmer or cooler outcomes. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycle tonight will refine the final reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 18, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$135Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 18, 2026, 7:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and ensemble models point to a San Francisco low near 58°F on September 20, driven by a strengthening marine layer with stratus and onshore westerly flow off the cool Pacific. The California Current and coastal upwelling maintain ocean temperatures around 55–58°F, limiting overnight radiative cooling and producing typical late-summer lows close to the 1991–2020 average of 55.8°F. Recent model runs show consistent marine-layer depth and wind patterns with minimal spread, supporting the market’s 52% implied probability on the 58–59°F bin while assigning lower odds to warmer or cooler outcomes. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycle tonight will refine the final reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$135Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 18, 2026, 7:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and ensemble models point to a San Francisco low near 58°F on September 20, driven by a strengthening marine layer with stratus and onshore westerly flow off the cool Pacific. The California Current and coastal upwelling maintain ocean temperatures around 55–58°F, limiting overnight radiative cooling and producing typical late-summer lows close to the 1991–2020 average of 55.8°F. Recent model runs show consistent marine-layer depth and wind patterns with minimal spread, supporting the market’s 52% implied probability on the 58–59°F bin while assigning lower odds to warmer or cooler outcomes. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycle tonight will refine the final reading.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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