Northeast monsoon flow combined with an aloft anticyclone is sustaining fine, dry conditions over southern China, driving trader consensus toward a 32–33 °C peak on September 19. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects a 27–33 °C range under easterly winds of force 3–4, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover that favors strong daytime heating. Ensemble model spreads and minor variations in monsoon strength introduce uncertainty, keeping probabilities distributed across 31–34 °C while lower or higher extremes remain remote. Sea-surface temperatures near 27 °C and seasonal September baselines near 30–31 °C provide context for the elevated but not extreme outlook, with updated short-range guidance expected before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 19?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 19?
32°C 37%
31°C 24%
34°C 20%
33°C 19%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 19, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
11%
31°C
24%
32°C
37%
33°C
19%
34°C
20%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 37%
31°C 24%
34°C 20%
33°C 19%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 19, 2026
26°C or below
$309 KL.
<1%
27°C
$125 KL.
<1%
28°C
$68 KL.
1%
29°C
$10 KL.
<1%
30°C
$0 KL.
11%
31°C
$5 KL.
24%
32°C
$42 KL.
37%
33°C
$133 KL.
19%
34°C
$410 KL.
20%
35°C
$10 KL.
4%
36°C or higher
$0 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Northeast monsoon flow combined with an aloft anticyclone is sustaining fine, dry conditions over southern China, driving trader consensus toward a 32–33 °C peak on September 19. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects a 27–33 °C range under easterly winds of force 3–4, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover that favors strong daytime heating. Ensemble model spreads and minor variations in monsoon strength introduce uncertainty, keeping probabilities distributed across 31–34 °C while lower or higher extremes remain remote. Sea-surface temperatures near 27 °C and seasonal September baselines near 30–31 °C provide context for the elevated but not extreme outlook, with updated short-range guidance expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,113Ngày kết thúc
Sep 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Northeast monsoon flow combined with an aloft anticyclone is sustaining fine, dry conditions over southern China, driving trader consensus toward a 32–33 °C peak on September 19. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects a 27–33 °C range under easterly winds of force 3–4, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover that favors strong daytime heating. Ensemble model spreads and minor variations in monsoon strength introduce uncertainty, keeping probabilities distributed across 31–34 °C while lower or higher extremes remain remote. Sea-surface temperatures near 27 °C and seasonal September baselines near 30–31 °C provide context for the elevated but not extreme outlook, with updated short-range guidance expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$1,113Ngày kết thúc
Sep 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Northeast monsoon flow combined with an aloft anticyclone is sustaining fine, dry conditions over southern China, driving trader consensus toward a 32–33 °C peak on September 19. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects a 27–33 °C range under easterly winds of force 3–4, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover that favors strong daytime heating. Ensemble model spreads and minor variations in monsoon strength introduce uncertainty, keeping probabilities distributed across 31–34 °C while lower or higher extremes remain remote. Sea-surface temperatures near 27 °C and seasonal September baselines near 30–31 °C provide context for the elevated but not extreme outlook, with updated short-range guidance expected before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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