National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on September 19 project daytime highs in the upper 80s amid partly sunny skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorm chances near 40-70 percent driven by an upper-level low and easterly flow. This pattern favors 88-89°F as the most probable peak, consistent with climatological averages near 89°F, while abundant moisture and convective cooling limit upside potential above 90°F. Lower outcomes around 86-87°F gain traction if storms develop earlier or more intensely than modeled. Market-implied odds align closely with this consensus from official guidance and ensemble runs, underscoring trader focus on short-term forecast updates and resolution thresholds for the daily maximum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Miami on September 19?
88-89°F 42%
86-87°F 40%
90-91°F 13%
84-85°F 6%
$12,861 KL.
$12,861 KL.
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
40%
88-89°F
42%
90-91°F
13%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 42%
86-87°F 40%
90-91°F 13%
84-85°F 6%
$12,861 KL.
$12,861 KL.
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
40%
88-89°F
42%
90-91°F
13%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 17, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on September 19 project daytime highs in the upper 80s amid partly sunny skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorm chances near 40-70 percent driven by an upper-level low and easterly flow. This pattern favors 88-89°F as the most probable peak, consistent with climatological averages near 89°F, while abundant moisture and convective cooling limit upside potential above 90°F. Lower outcomes around 86-87°F gain traction if storms develop earlier or more intensely than modeled. Market-implied odds align closely with this consensus from official guidance and ensemble runs, underscoring trader focus on short-term forecast updates and resolution thresholds for the daily maximum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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