Recent forecast model consensus and real-time observations position a 21°C high as the most probable outcome for Munich on September 18, 2026, reflecting typical mid-September conditions with mild westerly flow and persistent cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Official guidance and ensemble runs indicate afternoon peaks near 20–21°C under mostly cloudy skies, consistent with the 19.4°C climatological average high and current surface temperatures climbing gradually from morning lows around 12°C. Limited solar insolation and stable atmospheric conditions reduce the chance of exceeding 22°C, while the absence of stronger southerly advection or clear skies keeps probabilities for 20°C or lower modest. Updated model runs and hourly observations through the afternoon will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Munich on September 18?
21°C 69%
22°C 20%
20°C 14%
23°C <1%
$20,138 KL.
$20,138 KL.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
14%
21°C
64%
22°C
20%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 69%
22°C 20%
20°C 14%
23°C <1%
$20,138 KL.
$20,138 KL.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
14%
21°C
64%
22°C
20%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus and real-time observations position a 21°C high as the most probable outcome for Munich on September 18, 2026, reflecting typical mid-September conditions with mild westerly flow and persistent cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Official guidance and ensemble runs indicate afternoon peaks near 20–21°C under mostly cloudy skies, consistent with the 19.4°C climatological average high and current surface temperatures climbing gradually from morning lows around 12°C. Limited solar insolation and stable atmospheric conditions reduce the chance of exceeding 22°C, while the absence of stronger southerly advection or clear skies keeps probabilities for 20°C or lower modest. Updated model runs and hourly observations through the afternoon will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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