Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Panama City highs centering on 30–31°C today amid typical late wet-season conditions, with scattered afternoon convection and high humidity (often exceeding 85%) moderating peak temperatures through cloud cover and precipitation. Model consensus shows limited solar heating due to persistent moisture and thunderstorm activity, consistent with historical September baselines around 30–31°C rather than drier-season extremes. This scientific setup underpins trader preference for 31°C as the modal outcome, with 30°C and 32°C reflecting uncertainty in exact convective timing and intensity that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated regional model runs and surface observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Panama City on September 20?
31°C 40%
30°C 33%
32°C 15%
29°C 13%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
13%
30°C
33%
31°C
40%
32°C
15%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
<1%
31°C 40%
30°C 33%
32°C 15%
29°C 13%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
13%
30°C
33%
31°C
40%
32°C
15%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 18, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Panama City highs centering on 30–31°C today amid typical late wet-season conditions, with scattered afternoon convection and high humidity (often exceeding 85%) moderating peak temperatures through cloud cover and precipitation. Model consensus shows limited solar heating due to persistent moisture and thunderstorm activity, consistent with historical September baselines around 30–31°C rather than drier-season extremes. This scientific setup underpins trader preference for 31°C as the modal outcome, with 30°C and 32°C reflecting uncertainty in exact convective timing and intensity that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated regional model runs and surface observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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