Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models highlight increased cloud cover and thunderstorm chances on September 22, driven by southerly moisture flow and weak steering patterns, which could limit peak solar heating and cap daytime highs near 33–35°C amid high humidity. Recent observations show Guangzhou temperatures reaching 34–36°C under clearer skies, but the shift toward 70–80% precipitation probability introduces variability in maximum readings depending on timing of any convective activity. Trader consensus clustering around 34–35°C reflects this balance between climatological late-September norms near 31–32°C and persistent warm advection, with resolution hinging on official China Meteorological Administration surface observations and model updates expected before market close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 22?
35°C 26%
34°C 24%
33°C 16%
30°C 15%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
15%
31°C
8%
32°C
12%
33°C
16%
34°C
24%
35°C
26%
36°C
11%
37°C or higher
15%
35°C 26%
34°C 24%
33°C 16%
30°C 15%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
15%
31°C
8%
32°C
12%
33°C
16%
34°C
24%
35°C
26%
36°C
11%
37°C or higher
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models highlight increased cloud cover and thunderstorm chances on September 22, driven by southerly moisture flow and weak steering patterns, which could limit peak solar heating and cap daytime highs near 33–35°C amid high humidity. Recent observations show Guangzhou temperatures reaching 34–36°C under clearer skies, but the shift toward 70–80% precipitation probability introduces variability in maximum readings depending on timing of any convective activity. Trader consensus clustering around 34–35°C reflects this balance between climatological late-September norms near 31–32°C and persistent warm advection, with resolution hinging on official China Meteorological Administration surface observations and model updates expected before market close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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