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icon for Highest temperature in Cape Town on September 20?

Highest temperature in Cape Town on September 20?

icon for Highest temperature in Cape Town on September 20?

Highest temperature in Cape Town on September 20?

26°C 34%

27°C 28%

25°C 22%

28°C 10%

Polymarket
MỚI

26°C 34%

27°C 28%

25°C 22%

28°C 10%

Polymarket
MỚI

19°C or below

$1,181 KL.

<1%

20°C

$0 KL.

2%

21°C

$0 KL.

6%

22°C

$0 KL.

6%

23°C

$0 KL.

8%

24°C

$5 KL.

8%

25°C

$86 KL.

22%

26°C

$83 KL.

34%

27°C

$69 KL.

28%

28°C

$5 KL.

10%

29°C or higher

$51 KL.

6%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Cape Town on September 20 show a warming trend under stable high pressure, with clear skies and light-to-moderate southerly or southeasterly winds expected to produce a daytime maximum near 25–28 °C.** Multiple models, including GFS-derived guidance, indicate afternoon highs around 26–27 °C (roughly 79–81 °F), while some runs and local outlooks range from the low 20s °C to near 30 °C depending on exact wind strength and boundary-layer mixing. This spread explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 25–27 °C, with 26 °C edging out 27 °C as the most favored single outcome. Key differentiating factors include the strength and persistence of the South Atlantic high, which suppresses cloud cover and allows strong springtime solar heating, versus the moderating influence of onshore flow from the cooler Benguela Current. Light winds favor higher maxima by limiting turbulent mixing, while stronger southeasterlies can cap temperatures several degrees lower. With no precipitation or major frontal systems indicated and only modest model disagreement on peak timing, trader sentiment reflects this narrow but genuine uncertainty window ahead of final observational data. Updated model runs and official South African Weather Service guidance in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range further.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,480
Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026
Thị trường mở
Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET

Người giải quyết

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Cape Town on September 20 show a warming trend under stable high pressure, with clear skies and light-to-moderate southerly or southeasterly winds expected to produce a daytime maximum near 25–28 °C.** Multiple models, including GFS-derived guidance, indicate afternoon highs around 26–27 °C (roughly 79–81 °F), while some runs and local outlooks range from the low 20s °C to near 30 °C depending on exact wind strength and boundary-layer mixing. This spread explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 25–27 °C, with 26 °C edging out 27 °C as the most favored single outcome. Key differentiating factors include the strength and persistence of the South Atlantic high, which suppresses cloud cover and allows strong springtime solar heating, versus the moderating influence of onshore flow from the cooler Benguela Current. Light winds favor higher maxima by limiting turbulent mixing, while stronger southeasterlies can cap temperatures several degrees lower. With no precipitation or major frontal systems indicated and only modest model disagreement on peak timing, trader sentiment reflects this narrow but genuine uncertainty window ahead of final observational data. Updated model runs and official South African Weather Service guidance in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range further.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,480
Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026
Thị trường mở
Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET

Người giải quyết

0x69c47De9D...

Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.

Câu hỏi thường gặp

"Highest temperature in Cape Town on September 20?" là thị trường dự đoán trên Polymarket với 11 kết quả có thể nơi các nhà giao dịch mua và bán cổ phần dựa trên điều họ tin sẽ xảy ra. Kết quả dẫn đầu hiện tại là "26°C" ở mức 34%, tiếp theo là "27°C" ở mức 28%. Giá phản ánh xác suất cộng đồng theo thời gian thực. Ví dụ, cổ phần ở giá 34¢ ngụ ý thị trường tập thể cho rằng có 34% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Tỷ lệ này thay đổi liên tục khi trader phản ứng với diễn biến và thông tin mới. Cổ phần đúng kết quả có thể đổi lấy $1 mỗi cổ phần khi thị trường được giải quyết.

"Highest temperature in Cape Town on September 20?" là thị trường mới được tạo trên Polymarket, mở vào Sep 18, 2026. Là thị trường sớm, đây là cơ hội để bạn trở thành một trong những trader đầu tiên đặt tỷ lệ và thiết lập tín hiệu giá ban đầu. Bạn cũng có thể đánh dấu trang này để theo dõi khối lượng và hoạt động giao dịch khi thị trường phát triển.

Để giao dịch trên "Highest temperature in Cape Town on September 20?," duyệt 11 kết quả có sẵn trên trang này. Mỗi kết quả hiển thị giá hiện tại đại diện cho xác suất ngụ ý của thị trường. Để mở vị thế, chọn kết quả bạn tin là có khả năng nhất, chọn "Có" để giao dịch ủng hộ hoặc "Không" để giao dịch chống, nhập số tiền và nhấn "Giao dịch." Nếu kết quả bạn chọn đúng khi thị trường giải quyết, cổ phần "Có" của bạn trả $1 mỗi cổ phần. Nếu sai, chúng trả $0. Bạn cũng có thể bán cổ phần bất cứ lúc nào trước khi giải quyết nếu muốn chốt lời hoặc cắt lỗ.

Ứng viên dẫn đầu hiện tại cho "Highest temperature in Cape Town on September 20?" là "26°C" ở mức 34%, nghĩa là thị trường cho 34% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Kết quả gần nhất tiếp theo là "27°C" ở mức 28%. Tỷ lệ cập nhật theo thời gian thực khi trader mua và bán cổ phần, phản ánh cái nhìn tập thể mới nhất về điều có khả năng xảy ra nhất. Kiểm tra thường xuyên hoặc đánh dấu trang này để theo dõi tỷ lệ thay đổi khi thông tin mới xuất hiện.

Quy tắc giải quyết cho "Highest temperature in Cape Town on September 20?" định nghĩa chính xác điều gì cần xảy ra để mỗi kết quả được tuyên bố thắng — bao gồm nguồn dữ liệu chính thức được sử dụng để xác định kết quả. Bạn có thể xem tiêu chí giải quyết đầy đủ trong phần "Quy tắc" trên trang này phía trên bình luận. Chúng tôi khuyên đọc kỹ quy tắc trước khi giao dịch, vì chúng chỉ rõ điều kiện, trường hợp ngoại lệ và nguồn chính xác quản lý cách thị trường được thanh toán.