Current forecasts from sources including the South African Weather Service and international models point to clear skies, light southerly winds, and stable high pressure keeping overnight radiative cooling moderate over Cape Town. This setup supports a daily minimum around 15–17 °C, aligning with early-spring climatology for the region. Market-implied odds favoring 12–13 °C outcomes reflect trader emphasis on potential model underestimation of local cooling, dew-point depression, or slight timing shifts in the nocturnal minimum. Upcoming official station readings from the Cape Town International Airport site will resolve the market once the full 24-hour period is complete, with any unexpected wind shift or cloud intrusion capable of altering the final low by 1–2 °C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Cape Town on September 20?
10°C or below 100%
11°C 100%
12°C 100%
13°C 47.1%
10°C or below
100%
11°C
100%
12°C
100%
13°C
47%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
10°C or below 100%
11°C 100%
12°C 100%
13°C 47.1%
10°C or below
100%
11°C
100%
12°C
100%
13°C
47%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from sources including the South African Weather Service and international models point to clear skies, light southerly winds, and stable high pressure keeping overnight radiative cooling moderate over Cape Town. This setup supports a daily minimum around 15–17 °C, aligning with early-spring climatology for the region. Market-implied odds favoring 12–13 °C outcomes reflect trader emphasis on potential model underestimation of local cooling, dew-point depression, or slight timing shifts in the nocturnal minimum. Upcoming official station readings from the Cape Town International Airport site will resolve the market once the full 24-hour period is complete, with any unexpected wind shift or cloud intrusion capable of altering the final low by 1–2 °C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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