Current numerical weather models from agencies like NOAA and regional meteorological centers show a consensus high near 28–29°C for Wuhan on September 20 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and moderate humidity levels around 60%, which limits rapid daytime heating. These conditions align with the market-implied probabilities favoring 28°C and 29°C as the leading outcomes. Minor model spread arises from variations in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, with some runs allowing brief clearing that could push readings to 30°C while others favor more overcast suppression. Historical September averages for the region hover near 26–28°C, providing context for the tight clustering around the current forecast. Traders will monitor the final 24-hour model updates and any last-minute observational shifts before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 20?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 20?
29°C 40%
28°C 29%
30°C 17%
27°C 16%
MỚI
$10,844 KL.
MỚI
$10,844 KL.
Sep 20, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
16%
28°C
29%
29°C
40%
30°C
17%
31°C
6%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 40%
28°C 29%
30°C 17%
27°C 16%
MỚI
$10,844 KL.
MỚI
$10,844 KL.
Sep 20, 2026
25°C or below
$482 KL.
<1%
26°C
$458 KL.
2%
27°C
$3,111 KL.
16%
28°C
$1,265 KL.
29%
29°C
$1,305 KL.
40%
30°C
$1,119 KL.
17%
31°C
$269 KL.
6%
32°C
$219 KL.
<1%
33°C
$155 KL.
<1%
34°C
$407 KL.
1%
35°C or higher
$2,053 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models from agencies like NOAA and regional meteorological centers show a consensus high near 28–29°C for Wuhan on September 20 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and moderate humidity levels around 60%, which limits rapid daytime heating. These conditions align with the market-implied probabilities favoring 28°C and 29°C as the leading outcomes. Minor model spread arises from variations in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, with some runs allowing brief clearing that could push readings to 30°C while others favor more overcast suppression. Historical September averages for the region hover near 26–28°C, providing context for the tight clustering around the current forecast. Traders will monitor the final 24-hour model updates and any last-minute observational shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$10,844Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models from agencies like NOAA and regional meteorological centers show a consensus high near 28–29°C for Wuhan on September 20 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and moderate humidity levels around 60%, which limits rapid daytime heating. These conditions align with the market-implied probabilities favoring 28°C and 29°C as the leading outcomes. Minor model spread arises from variations in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, with some runs allowing brief clearing that could push readings to 30°C while others favor more overcast suppression. Historical September averages for the region hover near 26–28°C, providing context for the tight clustering around the current forecast. Traders will monitor the final 24-hour model updates and any last-minute observational shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$10,844Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models from agencies like NOAA and regional meteorological centers show a consensus high near 28–29°C for Wuhan on September 20 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and moderate humidity levels around 60%, which limits rapid daytime heating. These conditions align with the market-implied probabilities favoring 28°C and 29°C as the leading outcomes. Minor model spread arises from variations in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, with some runs allowing brief clearing that could push readings to 30°C while others favor more overcast suppression. Historical September averages for the region hover near 26–28°C, providing context for the tight clustering around the current forecast. Traders will monitor the final 24-hour model updates and any last-minute observational shifts before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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