Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles on September 21 project a daily minimum in the mid-60s, driven by persistent onshore southwest flow and increasing marine layer clouds that limit overnight radiative cooling. This setup typically caps cooling compared to clear-sky conditions, aligning with recent days' observed lows in the mid-to-upper 60s amid above-average September warmth. Model consensus from GFS and local guidance shows modest disagreement on fog depth and wind speeds, which could shift the low by a few degrees. Traders appear to weigh these variables against the historical average low near 63°F, positioning the 68-69°F outcome as the leading implied probability while lower buckets reflect potential for stronger marine influence. Updated NWS briefings and overnight observations will provide the final resolution data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 21?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 21?
76°F or higher 94.6%
57°F or below 91.4%
68-69°F 68%
66-67°F 46%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 21, 2026
57°F or below
91%
58-59°F
3%
60-61°F
39%
62-63°F
39%
64-65°F
39%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
58%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
14%
76°F or higher
95%
76°F or higher 94.6%
57°F or below 91.4%
68-69°F 68%
66-67°F 46%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 21, 2026
57°F or below
$31 KL.
91%
58-59°F
$0 KL.
3%
60-61°F
$0 KL.
39%
62-63°F
$0 KL.
39%
64-65°F
$0 KL.
39%
66-67°F
$14 KL.
26%
68-69°F
$276 KL.
58%
70-71°F
$0 KL.
39%
72-73°F
$0 KL.
5%
74-75°F
$31 KL.
14%
76°F or higher
$31 KL.
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles on September 21 project a daily minimum in the mid-60s, driven by persistent onshore southwest flow and increasing marine layer clouds that limit overnight radiative cooling. This setup typically caps cooling compared to clear-sky conditions, aligning with recent days' observed lows in the mid-to-upper 60s amid above-average September warmth. Model consensus from GFS and local guidance shows modest disagreement on fog depth and wind speeds, which could shift the low by a few degrees. Traders appear to weigh these variables against the historical average low near 63°F, positioning the 68-69°F outcome as the leading implied probability while lower buckets reflect potential for stronger marine influence. Updated NWS briefings and overnight observations will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 19, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$384Ngày kết thúc
Sep 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 19, 2026, 7:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles on September 21 project a daily minimum in the mid-60s, driven by persistent onshore southwest flow and increasing marine layer clouds that limit overnight radiative cooling. This setup typically caps cooling compared to clear-sky conditions, aligning with recent days' observed lows in the mid-to-upper 60s amid above-average September warmth. Model consensus from GFS and local guidance shows modest disagreement on fog depth and wind speeds, which could shift the low by a few degrees. Traders appear to weigh these variables against the historical average low near 63°F, positioning the 68-69°F outcome as the leading implied probability while lower buckets reflect potential for stronger marine influence. Updated NWS briefings and overnight observations will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$384Ngày kết thúc
Sep 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 19, 2026, 7:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles on September 21 project a daily minimum in the mid-60s, driven by persistent onshore southwest flow and increasing marine layer clouds that limit overnight radiative cooling. This setup typically caps cooling compared to clear-sky conditions, aligning with recent days' observed lows in the mid-to-upper 60s amid above-average September warmth. Model consensus from GFS and local guidance shows modest disagreement on fog depth and wind speeds, which could shift the low by a few degrees. Traders appear to weigh these variables against the historical average low near 63°F, positioning the 68-69°F outcome as the leading implied probability while lower buckets reflect potential for stronger marine influence. Updated NWS briefings and overnight observations will provide the final resolution data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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