Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate a moderate marine layer influence and mostly cloudy conditions across Los Angeles on September 21, supporting highs centered in the mid-70s. Official outlooks from the Los Angeles/Oxnard office project mid-70s to around 80°F depending on location and coastal effects, aligning closely with the market's leading 76-77°F bin at 53% implied probability. Typical late-September climatology, with an average high near 76°F, further anchors trader consensus around these values amid limited day-to-day variability and no strong onshore or offshore flow expected to push extremes. Final resolution will depend on the verified maximum at primary stations such as Los Angeles International Airport, with any late forecast adjustments from updated model runs potentially shifting shorter-term odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Los Angeles on September 21?
76-77°F 52%
74-75°F 32%
72-73°F 9%
78-79°F 6%
$12,868 KL.
$12,868 KL.
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
32%
76-77°F
52%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 52%
74-75°F 32%
72-73°F 9%
78-79°F 6%
$12,868 KL.
$12,868 KL.
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
32%
76-77°F
52%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 19, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate a moderate marine layer influence and mostly cloudy conditions across Los Angeles on September 21, supporting highs centered in the mid-70s. Official outlooks from the Los Angeles/Oxnard office project mid-70s to around 80°F depending on location and coastal effects, aligning closely with the market's leading 76-77°F bin at 53% implied probability. Typical late-September climatology, with an average high near 76°F, further anchors trader consensus around these values amid limited day-to-day variability and no strong onshore or offshore flow expected to push extremes. Final resolution will depend on the verified maximum at primary stations such as Los Angeles International Airport, with any late forecast adjustments from updated model runs potentially shifting shorter-term odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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