**Forecast consensus points to a high of 70–73°F in New York City on September 19, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading bins at 45% and 33.5% implied probability.** Official and model guidance from the National Weather Service and multiple private sources show partly cloudy skies under northeast-to-east flow following a frontal passage, with daytime highs limited by cooler maritime air and modest insolation. This setup follows warmer conditions earlier in the week (low-80s highs on the 17th–18th) and matches typical early-autumn steering patterns that suppress peak temperatures. Resolution hinges on the official Central Park or LaGuardia maximum, with little model spread expected to shift the outcome outside the 68–75°F range. Traders are pricing the narrow 70–73°F window as the most probable outcome given the stable synoptic pattern.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in NYC on September 19?
Highest temperature in NYC on September 19?
70-71°F 45%
72-73°F 34%
74-75°F 12%
68-69°F 10%
MỚI
$10,315 KL.
MỚI
$10,315 KL.
Sep 19, 2026
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
10%
70-71°F
45%
72-73°F
34%
74-75°F
12%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 45%
72-73°F 34%
74-75°F 12%
68-69°F 10%
MỚI
$10,315 KL.
MỚI
$10,315 KL.
Sep 19, 2026
61°F or below
$111 KL.
<1%
62-63°F
$363 KL.
<1%
64-65°F
$21 KL.
1%
66-67°F
$194 KL.
1%
68-69°F
$2,601 KL.
10%
70-71°F
$3,361 KL.
45%
72-73°F
$2,077 KL.
34%
74-75°F
$1,338 KL.
12%
76-77°F
$16 KL.
1%
78-79°F
$121 KL.
1%
80°F or higher
$111 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus points to a high of 70–73°F in New York City on September 19, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading bins at 45% and 33.5% implied probability.** Official and model guidance from the National Weather Service and multiple private sources show partly cloudy skies under northeast-to-east flow following a frontal passage, with daytime highs limited by cooler maritime air and modest insolation. This setup follows warmer conditions earlier in the week (low-80s highs on the 17th–18th) and matches typical early-autumn steering patterns that suppress peak temperatures. Resolution hinges on the official Central Park or LaGuardia maximum, with little model spread expected to shift the outcome outside the 68–75°F range. Traders are pricing the narrow 70–73°F window as the most probable outcome given the stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 17, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Khối lượng
$10,315Ngày kết thúc
Sep 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 17, 2026, 3:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus points to a high of 70–73°F in New York City on September 19, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading bins at 45% and 33.5% implied probability.** Official and model guidance from the National Weather Service and multiple private sources show partly cloudy skies under northeast-to-east flow following a frontal passage, with daytime highs limited by cooler maritime air and modest insolation. This setup follows warmer conditions earlier in the week (low-80s highs on the 17th–18th) and matches typical early-autumn steering patterns that suppress peak temperatures. Resolution hinges on the official Central Park or LaGuardia maximum, with little model spread expected to shift the outcome outside the 68–75°F range. Traders are pricing the narrow 70–73°F window as the most probable outcome given the stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$10,315Ngày kết thúc
Sep 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 17, 2026, 3:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus points to a high of 70–73°F in New York City on September 19, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading bins at 45% and 33.5% implied probability.** Official and model guidance from the National Weather Service and multiple private sources show partly cloudy skies under northeast-to-east flow following a frontal passage, with daytime highs limited by cooler maritime air and modest insolation. This setup follows warmer conditions earlier in the week (low-80s highs on the 17th–18th) and matches typical early-autumn steering patterns that suppress peak temperatures. Resolution hinges on the official Central Park or LaGuardia maximum, with little model spread expected to shift the outcome outside the 68–75°F range. Traders are pricing the narrow 70–73°F window as the most probable outcome given the stable synoptic pattern.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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