The closely matched probabilities around 45% for a minimum of 7°C or below versus 17°C or higher on September 20 reflect genuine short-term forecast uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling for Mexico City. At its 2,240-meter elevation, clear skies under high-pressure influence allow efficient longwave heat loss after sunset, potentially pushing lows below the September climatological average near 12°C, whereas lingering moisture or cloud cover from the transition out of the rainy season traps heat and supports milder readings. Ensemble model runs show divergence on boundary-layer humidity and wind patterns, with new guidance expected to clarify resolution thresholds before the overnight period.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Mexico City on September 20?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on September 20?
7°C or below 90%
17°C or higher 89%
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 20, 2026
7°C or below
90%
8°C
13%
9°C
13%
10°C
13%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
27%
16°C
11%
17°C or higher
89%
7°C or below 90%
17°C or higher 89%
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 20, 2026
7°C or below
$0 KL.
90%
8°C
$0 KL.
13%
9°C
$0 KL.
13%
10°C
$0 KL.
13%
11°C
$0 KL.
39%
12°C
$0 KL.
39%
13°C
$0 KL.
40%
14°C
$0 KL.
40%
15°C
$10 KL.
27%
16°C
$15 KL.
11%
17°C or higher
$0 KL.
89%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched probabilities around 45% for a minimum of 7°C or below versus 17°C or higher on September 20 reflect genuine short-term forecast uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling for Mexico City. At its 2,240-meter elevation, clear skies under high-pressure influence allow efficient longwave heat loss after sunset, potentially pushing lows below the September climatological average near 12°C, whereas lingering moisture or cloud cover from the transition out of the rainy season traps heat and supports milder readings. Ensemble model runs show divergence on boundary-layer humidity and wind patterns, with new guidance expected to clarify resolution thresholds before the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 18, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$26Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 18, 2026, 8:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched probabilities around 45% for a minimum of 7°C or below versus 17°C or higher on September 20 reflect genuine short-term forecast uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling for Mexico City. At its 2,240-meter elevation, clear skies under high-pressure influence allow efficient longwave heat loss after sunset, potentially pushing lows below the September climatological average near 12°C, whereas lingering moisture or cloud cover from the transition out of the rainy season traps heat and supports milder readings. Ensemble model runs show divergence on boundary-layer humidity and wind patterns, with new guidance expected to clarify resolution thresholds before the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$26Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 18, 2026, 8:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched probabilities around 45% for a minimum of 7°C or below versus 17°C or higher on September 20 reflect genuine short-term forecast uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling for Mexico City. At its 2,240-meter elevation, clear skies under high-pressure influence allow efficient longwave heat loss after sunset, potentially pushing lows below the September climatological average near 12°C, whereas lingering moisture or cloud cover from the transition out of the rainy season traps heat and supports milder readings. Ensemble model runs show divergence on boundary-layer humidity and wind patterns, with new guidance expected to clarify resolution thresholds before the overnight period.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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