**Current NWS and model guidance points to a Monday night low near 76°F for Austin, driven by persistent southerly flow, elevated dew points near 70–75°F, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling under a warm air mass with highs near 99°F.** This setup keeps overnight temperatures elevated compared to the September average low of about 66°F, with light winds (around 5 mph) and high humidity suppressing the typical diurnal drop. The tightly bunched market probabilities around 72–75°F reflect model spread in exact minimum timing and any subtle increases in cloud cover or moisture advection that could shave a degree or two, versus clearer conditions allowing slightly more cooling. No frontal passage is expected before resolution, so the outcome hinges on the final overnight observations from local stations like Austin-Bergstrom.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Austin on September 21?
Lowest temperature in Austin on September 21?
70-71°F 39%
76-77°F 39%
78-79°F 38%
72-73°F 32%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 21, 2026
67°F or below
3%
68-69°F
4%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
32%
74-75°F
23%
76-77°F
39%
78-79°F
38%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
3%
86°F or higher
2%
70-71°F 39%
76-77°F 39%
78-79°F 38%
72-73°F 32%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 21, 2026
67°F or below
$0 KL.
3%
68-69°F
$0 KL.
4%
70-71°F
$0 KL.
39%
72-73°F
$0 KL.
32%
74-75°F
$0 KL.
23%
76-77°F
$0 KL.
39%
78-79°F
$0 KL.
38%
80-81°F
$20 KL.
10%
82-83°F
$0 KL.
6%
84-85°F
$36 KL.
3%
86°F or higher
$31 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current NWS and model guidance points to a Monday night low near 76°F for Austin, driven by persistent southerly flow, elevated dew points near 70–75°F, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling under a warm air mass with highs near 99°F.**
This setup keeps overnight temperatures elevated compared to the September average low of about 66°F, with light winds (around 5 mph) and high humidity suppressing the typical diurnal drop. The tightly bunched market probabilities around 72–75°F reflect model spread in exact minimum timing and any subtle increases in cloud cover or moisture advection that could shave a degree or two, versus clearer conditions allowing slightly more cooling. No frontal passage is expected before resolution, so the outcome hinges on the final overnight observations from local stations like Austin-Bergstrom.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 19, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$87Ngày kết thúc
Sep 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 19, 2026, 3:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current NWS and model guidance points to a Monday night low near 76°F for Austin, driven by persistent southerly flow, elevated dew points near 70–75°F, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling under a warm air mass with highs near 99°F.**
This setup keeps overnight temperatures elevated compared to the September average low of about 66°F, with light winds (around 5 mph) and high humidity suppressing the typical diurnal drop. The tightly bunched market probabilities around 72–75°F reflect model spread in exact minimum timing and any subtle increases in cloud cover or moisture advection that could shave a degree or two, versus clearer conditions allowing slightly more cooling. No frontal passage is expected before resolution, so the outcome hinges on the final overnight observations from local stations like Austin-Bergstrom.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$87Ngày kết thúc
Sep 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 19, 2026, 3:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Current NWS and model guidance points to a Monday night low near 76°F for Austin, driven by persistent southerly flow, elevated dew points near 70–75°F, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling under a warm air mass with highs near 99°F.** This setup keeps overnight temperatures elevated compared to the September average low of about 66°F, with light winds (around 5 mph) and high humidity suppressing the typical diurnal drop. The tightly bunched market probabilities around 72–75°F reflect model spread in exact minimum timing and any subtle increases in cloud cover or moisture advection that could shave a degree or two, versus clearer conditions allowing slightly more cooling. No frontal passage is expected before resolution, so the outcome hinges on the final overnight observations from local stations like Austin-Bergstrom.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp