Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show high uncertainty for Qingdao's maximum temperature on September 21, with ensemble outputs clustering around 27–29°C due to variable autumnal conditions over the Yellow Sea. A weakening high-pressure ridge and modest southerly flow are supporting mild warmth, but differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the exact timing of any coastal front create the tight spread between the leading outcomes. Sea-surface temperatures near 24–25°C provide a moderating influence, while historical late-September climatology for the region centers near 24–26°C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs most heavily, as small shifts in these variables can easily move the daily high by 1–2°C before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 21?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 21?
28°C 30%
29°C 24%
27°C 21%
30°C 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 21, 2026
25°C or below
2%
26°C
6%
27°C
21%
28°C
30%
29°C
24%
30°C
13%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
28°C 30%
29°C 24%
27°C 21%
30°C 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 21, 2026
25°C or below
$40 KL.
2%
26°C
$734 KL.
6%
27°C
$3,545 KL.
21%
28°C
$1,219 KL.
30%
29°C
$1,542 KL.
24%
30°C
$642 KL.
13%
31°C
$284 KL.
6%
32°C
$237 KL.
2%
33°C
$155 KL.
1%
34°C
$31 KL.
<1%
35°C or higher
$37 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show high uncertainty for Qingdao's maximum temperature on September 21, with ensemble outputs clustering around 27–29°C due to variable autumnal conditions over the Yellow Sea. A weakening high-pressure ridge and modest southerly flow are supporting mild warmth, but differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the exact timing of any coastal front create the tight spread between the leading outcomes. Sea-surface temperatures near 24–25°C provide a moderating influence, while historical late-September climatology for the region centers near 24–26°C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs most heavily, as small shifts in these variables can easily move the daily high by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 19, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Khối lượng
$8,466Ngày kết thúc
Sep 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 19, 2026, 12:59 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show high uncertainty for Qingdao's maximum temperature on September 21, with ensemble outputs clustering around 27–29°C due to variable autumnal conditions over the Yellow Sea. A weakening high-pressure ridge and modest southerly flow are supporting mild warmth, but differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the exact timing of any coastal front create the tight spread between the leading outcomes. Sea-surface temperatures near 24–25°C provide a moderating influence, while historical late-September climatology for the region centers near 24–26°C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs most heavily, as small shifts in these variables can easily move the daily high by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$8,466Ngày kết thúc
Sep 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 19, 2026, 12:59 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show high uncertainty for Qingdao's maximum temperature on September 21, with ensemble outputs clustering around 27–29°C due to variable autumnal conditions over the Yellow Sea. A weakening high-pressure ridge and modest southerly flow are supporting mild warmth, but differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the exact timing of any coastal front create the tight spread between the leading outcomes. Sea-surface temperatures near 24–25°C provide a moderating influence, while historical late-September climatology for the region centers near 24–26°C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs most heavily, as small shifts in these variables can easily move the daily high by 1–2°C before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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