Latest forecast models from regional meteorological services indicate a high near 26°C for Chengdu on September 22 amid persistent cloud cover and light rain or showers, which limits daytime heating during the seasonal monsoon transition. Consensus across sources shows highs clustered between 25–27°C, with light southerly winds and high humidity near 80% further moderating peaks, while historical September averages hover around 25°C. Trader sentiment remains split across these outcomes because small shifts in cloud thickness or precipitation timing can alter the maximum by 1–2°C. Updated short-range model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key data releases likely to refine probabilities ahead of final observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 22?
26°C 26%
27°C 25%
25°C 24%
24°C 20%
22°C or below
9%
23°C
16%
24°C
20%
25°C
25%
26°C
26%
27°C
25%
28°C
13%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
2%
26°C 26%
27°C 25%
25°C 24%
24°C 20%
22°C or below
9%
23°C
16%
24°C
20%
25°C
25%
26°C
26%
27°C
25%
28°C
13%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from regional meteorological services indicate a high near 26°C for Chengdu on September 22 amid persistent cloud cover and light rain or showers, which limits daytime heating during the seasonal monsoon transition. Consensus across sources shows highs clustered between 25–27°C, with light southerly winds and high humidity near 80% further moderating peaks, while historical September averages hover around 25°C. Trader sentiment remains split across these outcomes because small shifts in cloud thickness or precipitation timing can alter the maximum by 1–2°C. Updated short-range model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key data releases likely to refine probabilities ahead of final observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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