Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate Moscow's September 22 maximum will likely fall between 15–20 °C amid variable cloud cover and scattered showers, keeping probabilities tightly clustered. Southerly flow ahead of an approaching frontal boundary supports modest warming above the 14.9 °C climatological high, while increasing low-level moisture and reduced insolation from stratiform clouds limit peak values. Model spread arises mainly from timing of precipitation onset and boundary-layer mixing; newer runs will refine whether daytime heating reaches the upper end of the range or stays suppressed near 16 °C. Official updates from Roshydromet and ECMWF ensembles expected within 24 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Moscow on September 22?
15°C 34%
18°C 21%
14°C 20%
17°C 20%
11°C or below
4%
12°C
4%
13°C
4%
14°C
20%
15°C
34%
16°C
14%
17°C
20%
18°C
21%
19°C
20%
20°C
11%
21°C or higher
2%
15°C 34%
18°C 21%
14°C 20%
17°C 20%
11°C or below
4%
12°C
4%
13°C
4%
14°C
20%
15°C
34%
16°C
14%
17°C
20%
18°C
21%
19°C
20%
20°C
11%
21°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate Moscow's September 22 maximum will likely fall between 15–20 °C amid variable cloud cover and scattered showers, keeping probabilities tightly clustered. Southerly flow ahead of an approaching frontal boundary supports modest warming above the 14.9 °C climatological high, while increasing low-level moisture and reduced insolation from stratiform clouds limit peak values. Model spread arises mainly from timing of precipitation onset and boundary-layer mixing; newer runs will refine whether daytime heating reaches the upper end of the range or stays suppressed near 16 °C. Official updates from Roshydromet and ECMWF ensembles expected within 24 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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