Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high-pressure regime over central Europe steering easterly flow into northern Italy, supporting a peak temperature in Milan near 24–26°C on September 22 with limited diurnal heating under variable cloud cover and low precipitation risk. Trader consensus reflected in the spread—led by 25°C at 34% implied probability—aligns with this consensus while acknowledging model divergence on exact insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September averages near 23°C provide context for the modest anomaly, and the market’s broad distribution underscores uncertainty typical of 48-hour forecasts, where small shifts in timing of any residual instability or wind strength could alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS, plus local observational data, will refine probabilities before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Milan on September 22?
Highest temperature in Milan on September 22?
25°C 38%
26°C 24%
24°C 14%
28°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 22, 2026
19°C or below
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
3%
23°C
6%
24°C
14%
25°C
38%
26°C
24%
27°C
9%
28°C
10%
29°C or higher
3%
25°C 38%
26°C 24%
24°C 14%
28°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 22, 2026
19°C or below
$0 KL.
2%
20°C
$0 KL.
4%
21°C
$0 KL.
4%
22°C
$0 KL.
3%
23°C
$0 KL.
6%
24°C
$32 KL.
14%
25°C
$20 KL.
38%
26°C
$0 KL.
24%
27°C
$0 KL.
9%
28°C
$0 KL.
10%
29°C or higher
$0 KL.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high-pressure regime over central Europe steering easterly flow into northern Italy, supporting a peak temperature in Milan near 24–26°C on September 22 with limited diurnal heating under variable cloud cover and low precipitation risk. Trader consensus reflected in the spread—led by 25°C at 34% implied probability—aligns with this consensus while acknowledging model divergence on exact insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September averages near 23°C provide context for the modest anomaly, and the market’s broad distribution underscores uncertainty typical of 48-hour forecasts, where small shifts in timing of any residual instability or wind strength could alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS, plus local observational data, will refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$52Ngày kết thúc
Sep 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high-pressure regime over central Europe steering easterly flow into northern Italy, supporting a peak temperature in Milan near 24–26°C on September 22 with limited diurnal heating under variable cloud cover and low precipitation risk. Trader consensus reflected in the spread—led by 25°C at 34% implied probability—aligns with this consensus while acknowledging model divergence on exact insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September averages near 23°C provide context for the modest anomaly, and the market’s broad distribution underscores uncertainty typical of 48-hour forecasts, where small shifts in timing of any residual instability or wind strength could alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS, plus local observational data, will refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$52Ngày kết thúc
Sep 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high-pressure regime over central Europe steering easterly flow into northern Italy, supporting a peak temperature in Milan near 24–26°C on September 22 with limited diurnal heating under variable cloud cover and low precipitation risk. Trader consensus reflected in the spread—led by 25°C at 34% implied probability—aligns with this consensus while acknowledging model divergence on exact insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September averages near 23°C provide context for the modest anomaly, and the market’s broad distribution underscores uncertainty typical of 48-hour forecasts, where small shifts in timing of any residual instability or wind strength could alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS, plus local observational data, will refine probabilities before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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