Recent forecast models from European meteorological centers project Milan’s overnight minimum on September 22 near 18–20 °C under partly cloudy skies, light easterly flow, and modest radiative cooling after a 25 °C daytime peak. This consensus supports elevated implied probabilities for 17–19 °C outcomes while the near-even split between the ≤12 °C and ≥22 °C buckets reflects residual ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind advection that could still shift the low several degrees either way before resolution. Historical September climatology places typical minima around 14–16 °C, underscoring how current stable high pressure keeps values elevated relative to seasonal norms.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Milan on September 22?
22°C or higher 94%
12°C or below 91%
16°C 40%
20°C 39%
12°C or below
91%
13°C
17%
14°C
9%
15°C
38%
16°C
40%
17°C
24%
18°C
38%
19°C
38%
20°C
39%
21°C
17%
22°C or higher
94%
22°C or higher 94%
12°C or below 91%
16°C 40%
20°C 39%
12°C or below
91%
13°C
17%
14°C
9%
15°C
38%
16°C
40%
17°C
24%
18°C
38%
19°C
38%
20°C
39%
21°C
17%
22°C or higher
94%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from European meteorological centers project Milan’s overnight minimum on September 22 near 18–20 °C under partly cloudy skies, light easterly flow, and modest radiative cooling after a 25 °C daytime peak. This consensus supports elevated implied probabilities for 17–19 °C outcomes while the near-even split between the ≤12 °C and ≥22 °C buckets reflects residual ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind advection that could still shift the low several degrees either way before resolution. Historical September climatology places typical minima around 14–16 °C, underscoring how current stable high pressure keeps values elevated relative to seasonal norms.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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