Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature in Milan near 17–19°C overnight into September 20, supported by high-pressure dominance and light winds that limit mixing. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 14–16°C because subtle variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and radiative cooling rates can shift the exact low by 1–2°C; clear skies promote stronger surface cooling toward dawn, while even thin overcast or slightly stronger southerly flow raises the floor. Model ensembles show modest spread in dew-point depression and wind speed at 2-meter height, creating genuine uncertainty within the narrow 14–16°C band that aligns with historical early-autumn minima for the Po Valley. Updated short-range guidance later today will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Milan on September 20?
13°C 93%
10°C or below 88%
15°C 50%
14°C 49%
10°C or below
88%
11°C
18%
12°C
18%
13°C
93%
14°C
49%
15°C
50%
16°C
49%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
13°C 93%
10°C or below 88%
15°C 50%
14°C 49%
10°C or below
88%
11°C
18%
12°C
18%
13°C
93%
14°C
49%
15°C
50%
16°C
49%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature in Milan near 17–19°C overnight into September 20, supported by high-pressure dominance and light winds that limit mixing. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 14–16°C because subtle variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and radiative cooling rates can shift the exact low by 1–2°C; clear skies promote stronger surface cooling toward dawn, while even thin overcast or slightly stronger southerly flow raises the floor. Model ensembles show modest spread in dew-point depression and wind speed at 2-meter height, creating genuine uncertainty within the narrow 14–16°C band that aligns with historical early-autumn minima for the Po Valley. Updated short-range guidance later today will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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