**Recent model consensus points to a minimum temperature in Munich on September 22 in the 4–7 °C range, driven by a northwesterly flow of cooler air behind a cold front and radiational cooling under partly clear skies.** Official and ensemble guidance from sources such as the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF indicate daytime highs near 16–18 °C with overnight lows falling to around 5–8 °C as high pressure builds and winds remain light. This setup favors clear or partly cloudy conditions that enhance surface heat loss, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 4–6 °C outcomes (combined probability >60 %). September climatology shows an average low near 9 °C, so the current pattern represents a notable cool anomaly for the date. Key variables still in play include the precise timing of any residual cloud cover or wind shifts, which could limit the drop by 1–2 °C, or further clearing that pushes readings toward the lower end of the distribution. Updated model runs and DWD briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Munich on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 22?
5°C 40%
4°C 39%
6°C 23%
3°C 19%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 22, 2026
2°C or below
5%
3°C
19%
4°C
39%
5°C
40%
6°C
23%
7°C
19%
8°C
11%
9°C
7%
10°C
5%
11°C
5%
12°C or higher
4%
5°C 40%
4°C 39%
6°C 23%
3°C 19%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 22, 2026
2°C or below
$0 KL.
5%
3°C
$0 KL.
19%
4°C
$0 KL.
39%
5°C
$0 KL.
40%
6°C
$0 KL.
23%
7°C
$0 KL.
19%
8°C
$0 KL.
11%
9°C
$0 KL.
7%
10°C
$0 KL.
5%
11°C
$0 KL.
5%
12°C or higher
$0 KL.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model consensus points to a minimum temperature in Munich on September 22 in the 4–7 °C range, driven by a northwesterly flow of cooler air behind a cold front and radiational cooling under partly clear skies.**
Official and ensemble guidance from sources such as the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF indicate daytime highs near 16–18 °C with overnight lows falling to around 5–8 °C as high pressure builds and winds remain light. This setup favors clear or partly cloudy conditions that enhance surface heat loss, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 4–6 °C outcomes (combined probability >60 %).
September climatology shows an average low near 9 °C, so the current pattern represents a notable cool anomaly for the date. Key variables still in play include the precise timing of any residual cloud cover or wind shifts, which could limit the drop by 1–2 °C, or further clearing that pushes readings toward the lower end of the distribution. Updated model runs and DWD briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model consensus points to a minimum temperature in Munich on September 22 in the 4–7 °C range, driven by a northwesterly flow of cooler air behind a cold front and radiational cooling under partly clear skies.**
Official and ensemble guidance from sources such as the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF indicate daytime highs near 16–18 °C with overnight lows falling to around 5–8 °C as high pressure builds and winds remain light. This setup favors clear or partly cloudy conditions that enhance surface heat loss, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 4–6 °C outcomes (combined probability >60 %).
September climatology shows an average low near 9 °C, so the current pattern represents a notable cool anomaly for the date. Key variables still in play include the precise timing of any residual cloud cover or wind shifts, which could limit the drop by 1–2 °C, or further clearing that pushes readings toward the lower end of the distribution. Updated model runs and DWD briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Recent model consensus points to a minimum temperature in Munich on September 22 in the 4–7 °C range, driven by a northwesterly flow of cooler air behind a cold front and radiational cooling under partly clear skies.** Official and ensemble guidance from sources such as the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF indicate daytime highs near 16–18 °C with overnight lows falling to around 5–8 °C as high pressure builds and winds remain light. This setup favors clear or partly cloudy conditions that enhance surface heat loss, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 4–6 °C outcomes (combined probability >60 %). September climatology shows an average low near 9 °C, so the current pattern represents a notable cool anomaly for the date. Key variables still in play include the precise timing of any residual cloud cover or wind shifts, which could limit the drop by 1–2 °C, or further clearing that pushes readings toward the lower end of the distribution. Updated model runs and DWD briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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