Trader sentiment centers on the Hong Kong Observatory’s official 27–31°C range for September 21, with 31°C holding the highest implied probability amid ensemble spreads. Persistent cloud cover, isolated showers, and thunderstorms driven by upper-air disturbances are expected to reduce solar insolation relative to the clearer, hotter conditions on September 20, while light northeast winds limit advection of warmer air. Sea-surface temperatures near 27°C and high humidity further moderate peaks. Model consensus clusters tightly around 30–32°C, but small differences in convective timing or cloud breaks could shift the observed maximum at official stations, leaving genuine forecast uncertainty until updated guidance and overnight observations arrive.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 21?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 21?
31°C 36%
30°C 25%
32°C 22%
29°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 21, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
11%
30°C
25%
31°C
36%
32°C
22%
33°C
8%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 36%
30°C 25%
32°C 22%
29°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 21, 2026
25°C or below
$135 KL.
<1%
26°C
$125 KL.
<1%
27°C
$485 KL.
1%
28°C
$262 KL.
4%
29°C
$314 KL.
11%
30°C
$1,022 KL.
25%
31°C
$257 KL.
36%
32°C
$566 KL.
22%
33°C
$180 KL.
8%
34°C
$345 KL.
1%
35°C or higher
$200 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment centers on the Hong Kong Observatory’s official 27–31°C range for September 21, with 31°C holding the highest implied probability amid ensemble spreads. Persistent cloud cover, isolated showers, and thunderstorms driven by upper-air disturbances are expected to reduce solar insolation relative to the clearer, hotter conditions on September 20, while light northeast winds limit advection of warmer air. Sea-surface temperatures near 27°C and high humidity further moderate peaks. Model consensus clusters tightly around 30–32°C, but small differences in convective timing or cloud breaks could shift the observed maximum at official stations, leaving genuine forecast uncertainty until updated guidance and overnight observations arrive.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,891Ngày kết thúc
Sep 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment centers on the Hong Kong Observatory’s official 27–31°C range for September 21, with 31°C holding the highest implied probability amid ensemble spreads. Persistent cloud cover, isolated showers, and thunderstorms driven by upper-air disturbances are expected to reduce solar insolation relative to the clearer, hotter conditions on September 20, while light northeast winds limit advection of warmer air. Sea-surface temperatures near 27°C and high humidity further moderate peaks. Model consensus clusters tightly around 30–32°C, but small differences in convective timing or cloud breaks could shift the observed maximum at official stations, leaving genuine forecast uncertainty until updated guidance and overnight observations arrive.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$3,891Ngày kết thúc
Sep 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment centers on the Hong Kong Observatory’s official 27–31°C range for September 21, with 31°C holding the highest implied probability amid ensemble spreads. Persistent cloud cover, isolated showers, and thunderstorms driven by upper-air disturbances are expected to reduce solar insolation relative to the clearer, hotter conditions on September 20, while light northeast winds limit advection of warmer air. Sea-surface temperatures near 27°C and high humidity further moderate peaks. Model consensus clusters tightly around 30–32°C, but small differences in convective timing or cloud breaks could shift the observed maximum at official stations, leaving genuine forecast uncertainty until updated guidance and overnight observations arrive.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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