Recent GFS model consensus and Hydrometeorological Center guidance project a daily maximum near 21°C in Moscow on September 21 under southerly flow, mostly cloudy skies, and light precipitation chances, aligning with the 55% market-implied probability for that outcome. Afternoon peaks in multiple ensemble runs cluster between 20–22°C, explaining the balanced support for the adjacent bins at roughly 21.5% each. This setup reflects typical late-September transitional conditions, with temperatures running several degrees above the 15–17°C climatological average but without strong warm advection to push readings higher. Final official readings from central Moscow stations will determine resolution, with any last-minute model shifts in the next 24 hours likely to refine these odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Moscow on September 21?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 21?
21°C 56%
22°C 22%
20°C 18%
19°C 3%
MỚI
$11,352 KL.
MỚI
$11,352 KL.
Sep 21, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
18%
21°C
56%
22°C
22%
23°C or higher
2%
21°C 56%
22°C 22%
20°C 18%
19°C 3%
MỚI
$11,352 KL.
MỚI
$11,352 KL.
Sep 21, 2026
13°C or below
$111 KL.
<1%
14°C
$111 KL.
<1%
15°C
$538 KL.
<1%
16°C
$589 KL.
<1%
17°C
$421 KL.
2%
18°C
$403 KL.
2%
19°C
$2,646 KL.
3%
20°C
$3,203 KL.
18%
21°C
$2,027 KL.
56%
22°C
$1,298 KL.
22%
23°C or higher
$50 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent GFS model consensus and Hydrometeorological Center guidance project a daily maximum near 21°C in Moscow on September 21 under southerly flow, mostly cloudy skies, and light precipitation chances, aligning with the 55% market-implied probability for that outcome. Afternoon peaks in multiple ensemble runs cluster between 20–22°C, explaining the balanced support for the adjacent bins at roughly 21.5% each. This setup reflects typical late-September transitional conditions, with temperatures running several degrees above the 15–17°C climatological average but without strong warm advection to push readings higher. Final official readings from central Moscow stations will determine resolution, with any last-minute model shifts in the next 24 hours likely to refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$11,352Ngày kết thúc
Sep 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent GFS model consensus and Hydrometeorological Center guidance project a daily maximum near 21°C in Moscow on September 21 under southerly flow, mostly cloudy skies, and light precipitation chances, aligning with the 55% market-implied probability for that outcome. Afternoon peaks in multiple ensemble runs cluster between 20–22°C, explaining the balanced support for the adjacent bins at roughly 21.5% each. This setup reflects typical late-September transitional conditions, with temperatures running several degrees above the 15–17°C climatological average but without strong warm advection to push readings higher. Final official readings from central Moscow stations will determine resolution, with any last-minute model shifts in the next 24 hours likely to refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$11,352Ngày kết thúc
Sep 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent GFS model consensus and Hydrometeorological Center guidance project a daily maximum near 21°C in Moscow on September 21 under southerly flow, mostly cloudy skies, and light precipitation chances, aligning with the 55% market-implied probability for that outcome. Afternoon peaks in multiple ensemble runs cluster between 20–22°C, explaining the balanced support for the adjacent bins at roughly 21.5% each. This setup reflects typical late-September transitional conditions, with temperatures running several degrees above the 15–17°C climatological average but without strong warm advection to push readings higher. Final official readings from central Moscow stations will determine resolution, with any last-minute model shifts in the next 24 hours likely to refine these odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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