Recent KMA and ensemble model guidance indicate a high of 28–29 °C for Incheon/Seoul on September 19 under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly flow, consistent with late-summer climatology of 25–27 °C. Stable high pressure and minimal moisture advection suppress afternoon convection or warming, keeping maximum temperatures clustered near this range. The 58.5 % market-implied probability on 28 °C reflects trader alignment with these consensus forecasts, while lower odds on 29 °C or 27 °C account for minor model spread and observational uncertainty at the official station. No incoming fronts or tropical influences are expected to alter the outcome before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 19?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 19?
28°C 62%
27°C 26%
29°C 11%
26°C 4%
MỚI
$18,013 KL.
MỚI
$18,013 KL.
Sep 19, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
26%
28°C
62%
29°C
11%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 62%
27°C 26%
29°C 11%
26°C 4%
MỚI
$18,013 KL.
MỚI
$18,013 KL.
Sep 19, 2026
23°C or below
$345 KL.
<1%
24°C
$375 KL.
<1%
25°C
$1,235 KL.
1%
26°C
$1,757 KL.
4%
27°C
$3,805 KL.
26%
28°C
$5,828 KL.
62%
29°C
$2,115 KL.
11%
30°C
$1,029 KL.
3%
31°C
$845 KL.
2%
32°C
$135 KL.
<1%
33°C or higher
$544 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA and ensemble model guidance indicate a high of 28–29 °C for Incheon/Seoul on September 19 under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly flow, consistent with late-summer climatology of 25–27 °C. Stable high pressure and minimal moisture advection suppress afternoon convection or warming, keeping maximum temperatures clustered near this range. The 58.5 % market-implied probability on 28 °C reflects trader alignment with these consensus forecasts, while lower odds on 29 °C or 27 °C account for minor model spread and observational uncertainty at the official station. No incoming fronts or tropical influences are expected to alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$18,013Ngày kết thúc
Sep 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA and ensemble model guidance indicate a high of 28–29 °C for Incheon/Seoul on September 19 under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly flow, consistent with late-summer climatology of 25–27 °C. Stable high pressure and minimal moisture advection suppress afternoon convection or warming, keeping maximum temperatures clustered near this range. The 58.5 % market-implied probability on 28 °C reflects trader alignment with these consensus forecasts, while lower odds on 29 °C or 27 °C account for minor model spread and observational uncertainty at the official station. No incoming fronts or tropical influences are expected to alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$18,013Ngày kết thúc
Sep 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent KMA and ensemble model guidance indicate a high of 28–29 °C for Incheon/Seoul on September 19 under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly flow, consistent with late-summer climatology of 25–27 °C. Stable high pressure and minimal moisture advection suppress afternoon convection or warming, keeping maximum temperatures clustered near this range. The 58.5 % market-implied probability on 28 °C reflects trader alignment with these consensus forecasts, while lower odds on 29 °C or 27 °C account for minor model spread and observational uncertainty at the official station. No incoming fronts or tropical influences are expected to alter the outcome before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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