Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a high of 30–32°C for Shenzhen on September 16, with 31°C emerging as the most consistent outcome under mostly cloudy conditions and light easterly winds. Recent showers and elevated humidity on September 15 have moderated surface heating, while increased cloud cover is expected to limit peak solar radiation and prevent stronger warming. Historical September averages near 31°C provide climatological context, and the absence of significant model spread or incoming cold fronts supports the current distribution of market-implied probabilities centered on 30–32°C. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance in the next 12–24 hours represent the key data points that could refine these odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 16?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 16?
31°C 39%
32°C 27%
30°C 19%
29°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 16, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
8%
30°C
19%
31°C
39%
32°C
27%
33°C
7%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 39%
32°C 27%
30°C 19%
29°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 16, 2026
25°C or below
$244 KL.
<1%
26°C
$217 KL.
<1%
27°C
$217 KL.
1%
28°C
$364 KL.
3%
29°C
$341 KL.
8%
30°C
$529 KL.
19%
31°C
$726 KL.
39%
32°C
$1,870 KL.
27%
33°C
$1,446 KL.
7%
34°C
$943 KL.
3%
35°C or higher
$292 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a high of 30–32°C for Shenzhen on September 16, with 31°C emerging as the most consistent outcome under mostly cloudy conditions and light easterly winds. Recent showers and elevated humidity on September 15 have moderated surface heating, while increased cloud cover is expected to limit peak solar radiation and prevent stronger warming. Historical September averages near 31°C provide climatological context, and the absence of significant model spread or incoming cold fronts supports the current distribution of market-implied probabilities centered on 30–32°C. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance in the next 12–24 hours represent the key data points that could refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$7,191Ngày kết thúc
Sep 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a high of 30–32°C for Shenzhen on September 16, with 31°C emerging as the most consistent outcome under mostly cloudy conditions and light easterly winds. Recent showers and elevated humidity on September 15 have moderated surface heating, while increased cloud cover is expected to limit peak solar radiation and prevent stronger warming. Historical September averages near 31°C provide climatological context, and the absence of significant model spread or incoming cold fronts supports the current distribution of market-implied probabilities centered on 30–32°C. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance in the next 12–24 hours represent the key data points that could refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$7,191Ngày kết thúc
Sep 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a high of 30–32°C for Shenzhen on September 16, with 31°C emerging as the most consistent outcome under mostly cloudy conditions and light easterly winds. Recent showers and elevated humidity on September 15 have moderated surface heating, while increased cloud cover is expected to limit peak solar radiation and prevent stronger warming. Historical September averages near 31°C provide climatological context, and the absence of significant model spread or incoming cold fronts supports the current distribution of market-implied probabilities centered on 30–32°C. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance in the next 12–24 hours represent the key data points that could refine these odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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