Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a September 15 high in Shenzhen most likely between 30–32 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered thunderstorms possible. Light easterly winds and high humidity near 80 % favor afternoon convection that can suppress peak readings if showers develop before midday, while clearer periods allow brief warming toward 32 °C. Historical September averages near 31 °C and the absence of strong synoptic systems or sea-breeze suppression keep outcomes tightly clustered. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread among 30–32 °C resolutions against the timing of any convective cells, with fresh model runs and real-time surface observations expected to refine the final maximum before market close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 15?
31°C 33%
32°C 27%
30°C 22%
33°C 12%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
7%
30°C
22%
31°C
33%
32°C
27%
33°C
12%
34°C
5%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 33%
32°C 27%
30°C 22%
33°C 12%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
7%
30°C
22%
31°C
33%
32°C
27%
33°C
12%
34°C
5%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a September 15 high in Shenzhen most likely between 30–32 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered thunderstorms possible. Light easterly winds and high humidity near 80 % favor afternoon convection that can suppress peak readings if showers develop before midday, while clearer periods allow brief warming toward 32 °C. Historical September averages near 31 °C and the absence of strong synoptic systems or sea-breeze suppression keep outcomes tightly clustered. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread among 30–32 °C resolutions against the timing of any convective cells, with fresh model runs and real-time surface observations expected to refine the final maximum before market close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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