Current forecasts from multiple models, including Met Office and regional analyses, point to a minimum temperature in São Paulo on September 18 around 13–15°C under persistent easterly flow and high cloud cover, following a cooler-than-average early September period. This range aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds near 45–46% for outcomes around 9°C or below, 15°C, and 19°C or higher, reflecting genuine uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling amid variable humidity and wind speeds of 5–10 km/h. Easterly advection from the Atlantic moderates extremes, while September climatology shows typical lows of 12–14°C; any deviation in model consensus on cloud thickness or boundary-layer mixing by dawn could shift the realized minimum across these thresholds. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance and next model runs will likely refine trader positioning before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 18?
9°C or below 89%
19°C or higher 84%
15°C 40%
12°C 39%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 18, 2026
9°C or below
89%
10°C
38%
11°C
38%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
24%
15°C
46%
16°C
38%
17°C
5%
18°C
5%
19°C or higher
84%
9°C or below 89%
19°C or higher 84%
15°C 40%
12°C 39%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 18, 2026
9°C or below
$0 KL.
89%
10°C
$0 KL.
38%
11°C
$0 KL.
38%
12°C
$0 KL.
39%
13°C
$0 KL.
39%
14°C
$0 KL.
24%
15°C
$57 KL.
46%
16°C
$0 KL.
38%
17°C
$0 KL.
5%
18°C
$0 KL.
5%
19°C or higher
$0 KL.
84%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models, including Met Office and regional analyses, point to a minimum temperature in São Paulo on September 18 around 13–15°C under persistent easterly flow and high cloud cover, following a cooler-than-average early September period. This range aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds near 45–46% for outcomes around 9°C or below, 15°C, and 19°C or higher, reflecting genuine uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling amid variable humidity and wind speeds of 5–10 km/h. Easterly advection from the Atlantic moderates extremes, while September climatology shows typical lows of 12–14°C; any deviation in model consensus on cloud thickness or boundary-layer mixing by dawn could shift the realized minimum across these thresholds. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance and next model runs will likely refine trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 16, 2026, 8:28 AM ET
Khối lượng
$57Ngày kết thúc
Sep 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 16, 2026, 8:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models, including Met Office and regional analyses, point to a minimum temperature in São Paulo on September 18 around 13–15°C under persistent easterly flow and high cloud cover, following a cooler-than-average early September period. This range aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds near 45–46% for outcomes around 9°C or below, 15°C, and 19°C or higher, reflecting genuine uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling amid variable humidity and wind speeds of 5–10 km/h. Easterly advection from the Atlantic moderates extremes, while September climatology shows typical lows of 12–14°C; any deviation in model consensus on cloud thickness or boundary-layer mixing by dawn could shift the realized minimum across these thresholds. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance and next model runs will likely refine trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$57Ngày kết thúc
Sep 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 16, 2026, 8:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models, including Met Office and regional analyses, point to a minimum temperature in São Paulo on September 18 around 13–15°C under persistent easterly flow and high cloud cover, following a cooler-than-average early September period. This range aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds near 45–46% for outcomes around 9°C or below, 15°C, and 19°C or higher, reflecting genuine uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling amid variable humidity and wind speeds of 5–10 km/h. Easterly advection from the Atlantic moderates extremes, while September climatology shows typical lows of 12–14°C; any deviation in model consensus on cloud thickness or boundary-layer mixing by dawn could shift the realized minimum across these thresholds. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance and next model runs will likely refine trader positioning before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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