Recent forecasts from models such as GFS indicate clear skies and a daily maximum near 21–22°C for Toronto on September 11, driven by light westerly winds, low humidity around 50–60%, and strong solar insolation under minimal cloud cover. This places the expected high slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average of 23°C for the date. Trader consensus, with 23°C and 24°C as the leading outcomes, incorporates remaining model spread in peak afternoon temperatures, potential local variations across observing stations, and the narrow window for last-minute adjustments before resolution. Historical analogs show similar late-summer setups can exceed initial projections by 1–2°C when boundary-layer mixing is stronger than anticipated.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Toronto on September 11?
23°C 45%
24°C 38%
22°C 13%
25°C 8%
18°C or below
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
3%
21°C
5%
22°C
13%
23°C
45%
24°C
38%
25°C
8%
26°C
3%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
3%
23°C 45%
24°C 38%
22°C 13%
25°C 8%
18°C or below
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
3%
21°C
5%
22°C
13%
23°C
45%
24°C
38%
25°C
8%
26°C
3%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 9, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models such as GFS indicate clear skies and a daily maximum near 21–22°C for Toronto on September 11, driven by light westerly winds, low humidity around 50–60%, and strong solar insolation under minimal cloud cover. This places the expected high slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average of 23°C for the date. Trader consensus, with 23°C and 24°C as the leading outcomes, incorporates remaining model spread in peak afternoon temperatures, potential local variations across observing stations, and the narrow window for last-minute adjustments before resolution. Historical analogs show similar late-summer setups can exceed initial projections by 1–2°C when boundary-layer mixing is stronger than anticipated.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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