Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Houston on September 9 points to afternoon highs in the low 90s, with a 40-50% chance of thunderstorms developing after midday under increasing instability and Gulf moisture. This convective potential introduces uncertainty that could cap peak readings below recent mid-90s values seen September 7-8, aligning trader consensus with the 90-91°F bin as the mode. Seasonal climatology places the long-term average high near 90.5°F, and current steering patterns show no strong tropical or frontal influences to push extremes higher or deliver widespread cooling. Updated model runs and any shifts in storm timing will be key near-term catalysts for odds movement ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Houston on September 9?
88-89°F 44%
90-91°F 43%
92-93°F 21%
84-85°F 17%
81°F or below
1%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
17%
86-87°F
12%
88-89°F
44%
90-91°F
43%
92-93°F
21%
94-95°F
10%
96-97°F
8%
98-99°F
8%
100°F or higher
9%
88-89°F 44%
90-91°F 43%
92-93°F 21%
84-85°F 17%
81°F or below
1%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
17%
86-87°F
12%
88-89°F
44%
90-91°F
43%
92-93°F
21%
94-95°F
10%
96-97°F
8%
98-99°F
8%
100°F or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 7, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Houston on September 9 points to afternoon highs in the low 90s, with a 40-50% chance of thunderstorms developing after midday under increasing instability and Gulf moisture. This convective potential introduces uncertainty that could cap peak readings below recent mid-90s values seen September 7-8, aligning trader consensus with the 90-91°F bin as the mode. Seasonal climatology places the long-term average high near 90.5°F, and current steering patterns show no strong tropical or frontal influences to push extremes higher or deliver widespread cooling. Updated model runs and any shifts in storm timing will be key near-term catalysts for odds movement ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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