**Trader consensus heavily favors 30°C as Manila's highest temperature on September 9, 2026, reflecting real-time observations and official monitoring data amid the ongoing southwest monsoon.** In Manila's tropical climate, typical September daytime highs range from 29–31°C, driven by solar heating and convective instability despite frequent thunderstorms and high humidity levels near 80–90%. PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila list a daily high near 29°C with a 90% rain probability, while live station readings and short-range model consensus have aligned closely with the 30°C threshold without notable upward or downward revisions. The market's near-certainty stems from skin-in-the-game assessment of these stable conditions. Only an unexpected surge in cloud cover or measurement adjustment at the primary observation site could realistically shift the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Manila on September 9?
30°C 99.8%
31°C <1%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
$29,187 KL.
$29,187 KL.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
30°C 99.8%
31°C <1%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
$29,187 KL.
$29,187 KL.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors 30°C as Manila's highest temperature on September 9, 2026, reflecting real-time observations and official monitoring data amid the ongoing southwest monsoon.** In Manila's tropical climate, typical September daytime highs range from 29–31°C, driven by solar heating and convective instability despite frequent thunderstorms and high humidity levels near 80–90%. PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila list a daily high near 29°C with a 90% rain probability, while live station readings and short-range model consensus have aligned closely with the 30°C threshold without notable upward or downward revisions. The market's near-certainty stems from skin-in-the-game assessment of these stable conditions. Only an unexpected surge in cloud cover or measurement adjustment at the primary observation site could realistically shift the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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