**Forecast models indicate a moderate high of 20–23°C for Cape Town on September 9, consistent with trader emphasis on the 21–23°C outcomes.** Southerly to southeasterly winds, strengthening to 15–25 km/h, advect cooler maritime air from the Benguela Current, limiting daytime heating after the warmer conditions observed on September 8. Partly cloudy skies and the absence of berg winds or strong subsidence further cap temperatures near seasonal norms for early spring. Minor differences among 21–23°C hinge on exact cloud timing, wind gust strength, and local sea-breeze onset, all within typical model spread for the region. Official guidance from sources such as SAWS and global ensembles shows no significant warm anomaly, supporting the narrow clustering of market-implied probabilities around these values.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Cape Town on September 9?
22°C 27%
23°C 22%
21°C 20%
24°C 13%
17°C or below
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
4%
20°C
11%
21°C
20%
22°C
27%
23°C
22%
24°C
13%
25°C
4%
26°C
3%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 27%
23°C 22%
21°C 20%
24°C 13%
17°C or below
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
4%
20°C
11%
21°C
20%
22°C
27%
23°C
22%
24°C
13%
25°C
4%
26°C
3%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models indicate a moderate high of 20–23°C for Cape Town on September 9, consistent with trader emphasis on the 21–23°C outcomes.** Southerly to southeasterly winds, strengthening to 15–25 km/h, advect cooler maritime air from the Benguela Current, limiting daytime heating after the warmer conditions observed on September 8. Partly cloudy skies and the absence of berg winds or strong subsidence further cap temperatures near seasonal norms for early spring. Minor differences among 21–23°C hinge on exact cloud timing, wind gust strength, and local sea-breeze onset, all within typical model spread for the region. Official guidance from sources such as SAWS and global ensembles shows no significant warm anomaly, supporting the narrow clustering of market-implied probabilities around these values.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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