Recent forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models indicate overnight lows near 10–11°C for Buenos Aires on September 17 under northerly flow and mostly clear skies, placing the expected minimum between the market’s closely matched 6°C-or-below and 16°C-or-higher outcomes. Radiative cooling rates, modulated by dew-point spreads around 9–10°C and light winds of 4–6 m/s, introduce genuine uncertainty in how far temperatures fall before sunrise; stronger northerly advection or increased cloud cover could limit the drop, while calmer conditions favor deeper cooling. Updated model runs and official briefings through the night will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 17?
6°C or below 100%
16°C or higher 90%
7°C 40%
12°C 40%
6°C or below
100%
7°C
40%
8°C
22%
9°C
22%
10°C
22%
11°C
3%
12°C
40%
13°C
17%
14°C
17%
15°C
17%
16°C or higher
90%
6°C or below 100%
16°C or higher 90%
7°C 40%
12°C 40%
6°C or below
100%
7°C
40%
8°C
22%
9°C
22%
10°C
22%
11°C
3%
12°C
40%
13°C
17%
14°C
17%
15°C
17%
16°C or higher
90%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 15, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models indicate overnight lows near 10–11°C for Buenos Aires on September 17 under northerly flow and mostly clear skies, placing the expected minimum between the market’s closely matched 6°C-or-below and 16°C-or-higher outcomes. Radiative cooling rates, modulated by dew-point spreads around 9–10°C and light winds of 4–6 m/s, introduce genuine uncertainty in how far temperatures fall before sunrise; stronger northerly advection or increased cloud cover could limit the drop, while calmer conditions favor deeper cooling. Updated model runs and official briefings through the night will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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