Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS data, indicate Toronto's overnight low on September 17 will likely reach 15–17°C amid partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and limited cooling under a mild air mass. This aligns with above-normal temperatures persisting into mid-September, exceeding the 1991–2020 average low of 13.5°C for the date. Trader consensus, reflected in elevated implied probabilities for 15°C and 16°C bins alongside the leading 21°C-or-higher outcome, incorporates uncertainty in final model runs and potential minor adjustments from new observational data or localized effects before dawn. Historical records show colder extremes are possible but uncommon this early in fall, supporting the low odds assigned to 11°C or below. Updated National Weather Service or Environment Canada briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key catalyst.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Toronto on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Toronto on September 17?
21°C or higher 63%
15°C 40%
12°C 39%
13°C 39%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 17, 2026
11°C or below
8%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
29%
16°C
24%
17°C
28%
18°C
21%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C or higher
63%
21°C or higher 63%
15°C 40%
12°C 39%
13°C 39%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 17, 2026
11°C or below
$51 KL.
8%
12°C
$0 KL.
39%
13°C
$0 KL.
39%
14°C
$0 KL.
39%
15°C
$228 KL.
29%
16°C
$0 KL.
24%
17°C
$23 KL.
28%
18°C
$0 KL.
21%
19°C
$79 KL.
39%
20°C
$0 KL.
39%
21°C or higher
$0 KL.
63%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS data, indicate Toronto's overnight low on September 17 will likely reach 15–17°C amid partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and limited cooling under a mild air mass. This aligns with above-normal temperatures persisting into mid-September, exceeding the 1991–2020 average low of 13.5°C for the date. Trader consensus, reflected in elevated implied probabilities for 15°C and 16°C bins alongside the leading 21°C-or-higher outcome, incorporates uncertainty in final model runs and potential minor adjustments from new observational data or localized effects before dawn. Historical records show colder extremes are possible but uncommon this early in fall, supporting the low odds assigned to 11°C or below. Updated National Weather Service or Environment Canada briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 15, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$380Ngày kết thúc
Sep 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 15, 2026, 8:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS data, indicate Toronto's overnight low on September 17 will likely reach 15–17°C amid partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and limited cooling under a mild air mass. This aligns with above-normal temperatures persisting into mid-September, exceeding the 1991–2020 average low of 13.5°C for the date. Trader consensus, reflected in elevated implied probabilities for 15°C and 16°C bins alongside the leading 21°C-or-higher outcome, incorporates uncertainty in final model runs and potential minor adjustments from new observational data or localized effects before dawn. Historical records show colder extremes are possible but uncommon this early in fall, supporting the low odds assigned to 11°C or below. Updated National Weather Service or Environment Canada briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$380Ngày kết thúc
Sep 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 15, 2026, 8:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS data, indicate Toronto's overnight low on September 17 will likely reach 15–17°C amid partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and limited cooling under a mild air mass. This aligns with above-normal temperatures persisting into mid-September, exceeding the 1991–2020 average low of 13.5°C for the date. Trader consensus, reflected in elevated implied probabilities for 15°C and 16°C bins alongside the leading 21°C-or-higher outcome, incorporates uncertainty in final model runs and potential minor adjustments from new observational data or localized effects before dawn. Historical records show colder extremes are possible but uncommon this early in fall, supporting the low odds assigned to 11°C or below. Updated National Weather Service or Environment Canada briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key catalyst.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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