The market's near-certain pricing on a 26°C high reflects official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and local authorities, which projected a daytime maximum of 26°C on September 16 under mostly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and isolated light rain potential in the high-elevation Valley of Mexico. This aligns with September climatology, where average highs range 24–26°C amid transitioning monsoon patterns and high solar angles. Official station measurements, including from Benito Juárez International Airport, confirmed the peak fell squarely at this threshold, leaving scant uncertainty. Only an unexpected late-afternoon spike or station-specific microclimate deviation could have altered resolution, scenarios forecasters deemed highly improbable given consistent model runs and observed conditions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 16?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 16?
26°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$31,141 KL.
$31,141 KL.
Sep 16, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$31,141 KL.
$31,141 KL.
Sep 16, 2026
17°C or below
$538 KL.
No
18°C
$363 KL.
No
19°C
$363 KL.
No
20°C
$363 KL.
No
21°C
$245 KL.
No
22°C
$303 KL.
No
23°C
$518 KL.
No
24°C
$3,572 KL.
No
25°C
$9,103 KL.
No
26°C
$11,941 KL.
Yes
27°C or higher
$3,833 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain pricing on a 26°C high reflects official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and local authorities, which projected a daytime maximum of 26°C on September 16 under mostly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and isolated light rain potential in the high-elevation Valley of Mexico. This aligns with September climatology, where average highs range 24–26°C amid transitioning monsoon patterns and high solar angles. Official station measurements, including from Benito Juárez International Airport, confirmed the peak fell squarely at this threshold, leaving scant uncertainty. Only an unexpected late-afternoon spike or station-specific microclimate deviation could have altered resolution, scenarios forecasters deemed highly improbable given consistent model runs and observed conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$31,141Ngày kết thúc
Sep 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain pricing on a 26°C high reflects official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and local authorities, which projected a daytime maximum of 26°C on September 16 under mostly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and isolated light rain potential in the high-elevation Valley of Mexico. This aligns with September climatology, where average highs range 24–26°C amid transitioning monsoon patterns and high solar angles. Official station measurements, including from Benito Juárez International Airport, confirmed the peak fell squarely at this threshold, leaving scant uncertainty. Only an unexpected late-afternoon spike or station-specific microclimate deviation could have altered resolution, scenarios forecasters deemed highly improbable given consistent model runs and observed conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$31,141Ngày kết thúc
Sep 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The market's near-certain pricing on a 26°C high reflects official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and local authorities, which projected a daytime maximum of 26°C on September 16 under mostly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and isolated light rain potential in the high-elevation Valley of Mexico. This aligns with September climatology, where average highs range 24–26°C amid transitioning monsoon patterns and high solar angles. Official station measurements, including from Benito Juárez International Airport, confirmed the peak fell squarely at this threshold, leaving scant uncertainty. Only an unexpected late-afternoon spike or station-specific microclimate deviation could have altered resolution, scenarios forecasters deemed highly improbable given consistent model runs and observed conditions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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