**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum of 27°C for September 16, 2026, aligning with the market's 92% implied probability for that outcome.** A northeast monsoon combined with high pressure aloft is maintaining generally fine, dry conditions across the Pearl River Delta, limiting overnight radiative cooling and keeping temperatures elevated relative to seasonal norms. Sea surface temperatures near 27°C further support this floor. Model consensus shows low precipitation risk and steady easterly flow, reducing the chance of sharper drops. A stronger-than-expected monsoon surge or prolonged clear skies with lighter winds could allow brief cooling toward 26°C, though current observations and guidance make that unlikely before midnight.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 16?
27°C 93%
26°C 7%
25°C 2%
23°C 1.6%
MỚI
$12,757 KL.
MỚI
$12,757 KL.
Sep 16, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
93%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 93%
26°C 7%
25°C 2%
23°C 1.6%
MỚI
$12,757 KL.
MỚI
$12,757 KL.
Sep 16, 2026
21°C or below
$188 KL.
<1%
22°C
$188 KL.
<1%
23°C
$115 KL.
2%
24°C
$613 KL.
1%
25°C
$1,232 KL.
2%
26°C
$2,937 KL.
7%
27°C
$3,488 KL.
93%
28°C
$1,623 KL.
<1%
29°C
$28 KL.
<1%
30°C
$1,172 KL.
<1%
31°C or higher
$1,172 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum of 27°C for September 16, 2026, aligning with the market's 92% implied probability for that outcome.** A northeast monsoon combined with high pressure aloft is maintaining generally fine, dry conditions across the Pearl River Delta, limiting overnight radiative cooling and keeping temperatures elevated relative to seasonal norms. Sea surface temperatures near 27°C further support this floor. Model consensus shows low precipitation risk and steady easterly flow, reducing the chance of sharper drops. A stronger-than-expected monsoon surge or prolonged clear skies with lighter winds could allow brief cooling toward 26°C, though current observations and guidance make that unlikely before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$12,757Ngày kết thúc
Sep 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum of 27°C for September 16, 2026, aligning with the market's 92% implied probability for that outcome.** A northeast monsoon combined with high pressure aloft is maintaining generally fine, dry conditions across the Pearl River Delta, limiting overnight radiative cooling and keeping temperatures elevated relative to seasonal norms. Sea surface temperatures near 27°C further support this floor. Model consensus shows low precipitation risk and steady easterly flow, reducing the chance of sharper drops. A stronger-than-expected monsoon surge or prolonged clear skies with lighter winds could allow brief cooling toward 26°C, though current observations and guidance make that unlikely before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$12,757Ngày kết thúc
Sep 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum of 27°C for September 16, 2026, aligning with the market's 92% implied probability for that outcome.** A northeast monsoon combined with high pressure aloft is maintaining generally fine, dry conditions across the Pearl River Delta, limiting overnight radiative cooling and keeping temperatures elevated relative to seasonal norms. Sea surface temperatures near 27°C further support this floor. Model consensus shows low precipitation risk and steady easterly flow, reducing the chance of sharper drops. A stronger-than-expected monsoon surge or prolonged clear skies with lighter winds could allow brief cooling toward 26°C, though current observations and guidance make that unlikely before midnight.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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