Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature in Amsterdam on September 17 of 17–18°C under persistent rain and southwest winds of 15–18 mph, limiting solar heating and keeping conditions near or slightly below the seasonal average high of 19°C. Cloud cover and precipitation probabilities above 70% during peak afternoon hours reduce the chance of reaching 19°C or higher, while minimums near 13–14°C make sub-17°C outcomes unlikely. Trader consensus favoring 18°C at 55.5% implied probability reflects this model agreement, with shorter odds on 17°C and 19°C capturing residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and local variations ahead of final observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 17?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 17?
18°C 56%
19°C 19%
17°C 17%
16°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 17, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
4%
17°C
17%
18°C
56%
19°C
19%
20°C
4%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
<1%
18°C 56%
19°C 19%
17°C 17%
16°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 17, 2026
12°C or below
$387 KL.
<1%
13°C
$104 KL.
<1%
14°C
$67 KL.
1%
15°C
$179 KL.
2%
16°C
$478 KL.
4%
17°C
$371 KL.
17%
18°C
$740 KL.
56%
19°C
$398 KL.
19%
20°C
$282 KL.
4%
21°C
$36 KL.
1%
22°C or higher
$75 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature in Amsterdam on September 17 of 17–18°C under persistent rain and southwest winds of 15–18 mph, limiting solar heating and keeping conditions near or slightly below the seasonal average high of 19°C. Cloud cover and precipitation probabilities above 70% during peak afternoon hours reduce the chance of reaching 19°C or higher, while minimums near 13–14°C make sub-17°C outcomes unlikely. Trader consensus favoring 18°C at 55.5% implied probability reflects this model agreement, with shorter odds on 17°C and 19°C capturing residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and local variations ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,119Ngày kết thúc
Sep 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature in Amsterdam on September 17 of 17–18°C under persistent rain and southwest winds of 15–18 mph, limiting solar heating and keeping conditions near or slightly below the seasonal average high of 19°C. Cloud cover and precipitation probabilities above 70% during peak afternoon hours reduce the chance of reaching 19°C or higher, while minimums near 13–14°C make sub-17°C outcomes unlikely. Trader consensus favoring 18°C at 55.5% implied probability reflects this model agreement, with shorter odds on 17°C and 19°C capturing residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and local variations ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$3,119Ngày kết thúc
Sep 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature in Amsterdam on September 17 of 17–18°C under persistent rain and southwest winds of 15–18 mph, limiting solar heating and keeping conditions near or slightly below the seasonal average high of 19°C. Cloud cover and precipitation probabilities above 70% during peak afternoon hours reduce the chance of reaching 19°C or higher, while minimums near 13–14°C make sub-17°C outcomes unlikely. Trader consensus favoring 18°C at 55.5% implied probability reflects this model agreement, with shorter odds on 17°C and 19°C capturing residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and local variations ahead of final observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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