**Forecast models show considerable uncertainty for the overnight minimum in Buenos Aires on September 10, 2026, with recent cold air advection giving way to moderating northeasterly flow.** Following the sharp cold snap that produced a 2.4 °C reading on September 6, high pressure and light winds from the north and east are expected to limit further radiational cooling while allowing daytime highs to reach 18–20 °C. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and ensemble guidance place the most likely minimum near 9–11 °C, but small shifts in cloud cover, dew-point depression, or wind speed could push the reading several degrees lower or keep it well above 12 °C. The near-even market odds between sub-6 °C and 16 °C+ outcomes reflect this narrow margin between stronger nocturnal cooling under clearer, calmer conditions versus continued mild advection. Updated model runs and the 00 UTC SMN briefing will be the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 10?
6°C or below 86%
16°C or higher 86%
7°C 39%
13°C 39%
6°C or below
86%
7°C
39%
8°C
38%
9°C
25%
10°C
16%
11°C
21%
12°C
8%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C or higher
86%
6°C or below 86%
16°C or higher 86%
7°C 39%
13°C 39%
6°C or below
86%
7°C
39%
8°C
38%
9°C
25%
10°C
16%
11°C
21%
12°C
8%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C or higher
86%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 8, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models show considerable uncertainty for the overnight minimum in Buenos Aires on September 10, 2026, with recent cold air advection giving way to moderating northeasterly flow.** Following the sharp cold snap that produced a 2.4 °C reading on September 6, high pressure and light winds from the north and east are expected to limit further radiational cooling while allowing daytime highs to reach 18–20 °C. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and ensemble guidance place the most likely minimum near 9–11 °C, but small shifts in cloud cover, dew-point depression, or wind speed could push the reading several degrees lower or keep it well above 12 °C. The near-even market odds between sub-6 °C and 16 °C+ outcomes reflect this narrow margin between stronger nocturnal cooling under clearer, calmer conditions versus continued mild advection. Updated model runs and the 00 UTC SMN briefing will be the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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