Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Moscow's September 11 high will likely reach 16–18°C amid a cooler air mass arriving from the west, increased cloud cover, and widespread rain reducing solar insolation. This follows warmer conditions on September 9–10, when highs approached or exceeded 23°C under clearer skies. Historical climatology places the September 11 average high at 17.3°C, with the current setup aligning closely to that baseline as autumnal steering patterns suppress further warming. Trader sentiment clusters on 17°C as the modal outcome because ensemble runs show limited upside potential from lingering warmth and downside risk from heavier precipitation or stronger winds, with new model updates and official Hydrometeorological Center guidance expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Moscow on September 11?
17°C 43%
18°C 22%
16°C 20%
15°C 14%
12°C or below
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
6%
15°C
14%
16°C
20%
17°C
43%
18°C
22%
19°C
13%
20°C
10%
21°C
7%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 43%
18°C 22%
16°C 20%
15°C 14%
12°C or below
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
6%
15°C
14%
16°C
20%
17°C
43%
18°C
22%
19°C
13%
20°C
10%
21°C
7%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Moscow's September 11 high will likely reach 16–18°C amid a cooler air mass arriving from the west, increased cloud cover, and widespread rain reducing solar insolation. This follows warmer conditions on September 9–10, when highs approached or exceeded 23°C under clearer skies. Historical climatology places the September 11 average high at 17.3°C, with the current setup aligning closely to that baseline as autumnal steering patterns suppress further warming. Trader sentiment clusters on 17°C as the modal outcome because ensemble runs show limited upside potential from lingering warmth and downside risk from heavier precipitation or stronger winds, with new model updates and official Hydrometeorological Center guidance expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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