**Official forecasts position 25°C as the most probable peak temperature for Moscow on September 10, 2026.** The Russian Hydrometeorological Center projects daytime readings between +24°C and +26°C under light southerly winds of 2–10 m/s, slight to variable cloud cover, and stable atmospheric pressure near 745–746 mmHg, with no precipitation expected. Multiple independent models and real-time observations converge on afternoon highs around 24–26°C (roughly 75–79°F), aligning closely with the market’s implied probabilities. Recent data reinforce this range: southerly flow advects mild air without strong warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating that could push readings to 27°C or higher. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around the seasonal norm of about 18°C, and no major forecast revisions or model disagreements have emerged in the past 24–48 hours. Traders therefore assign the highest weight to 25°C (70.5%), with smaller probabilities for 24°C and 26°C reflecting minor uncertainties in exact peak timing, local station microclimate, or boundary-layer mixing at the official measurement site.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Moscow on September 10?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 10?
26°C 56%
25°C 44%
24°C 2%
27°C 1.4%
$20,841 KL.
$20,841 KL.
Sep 10, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
44%
26°C
56%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
26°C 56%
25°C 44%
24°C 2%
27°C 1.4%
$20,841 KL.
$20,841 KL.
Sep 10, 2026
18°C or below
$603 KL.
<1%
19°C
$607 KL.
<1%
20°C
$324 KL.
<1%
21°C
$554 KL.
<1%
22°C
$702 KL.
<1%
23°C
$2,814 KL.
<1%
24°C
$4,565 KL.
2%
25°C
$4,145 KL.
44%
26°C
$3,527 KL.
56%
27°C
$2,141 KL.
1%
28°C or higher
$859 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts position 25°C as the most probable peak temperature for Moscow on September 10, 2026.** The Russian Hydrometeorological Center projects daytime readings between +24°C and +26°C under light southerly winds of 2–10 m/s, slight to variable cloud cover, and stable atmospheric pressure near 745–746 mmHg, with no precipitation expected. Multiple independent models and real-time observations converge on afternoon highs around 24–26°C (roughly 75–79°F), aligning closely with the market’s implied probabilities.
Recent data reinforce this range: southerly flow advects mild air without strong warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating that could push readings to 27°C or higher. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around the seasonal norm of about 18°C, and no major forecast revisions or model disagreements have emerged in the past 24–48 hours. Traders therefore assign the highest weight to 25°C (70.5%), with smaller probabilities for 24°C and 26°C reflecting minor uncertainties in exact peak timing, local station microclimate, or boundary-layer mixing at the official measurement site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$20,841Ngày kết thúc
Sep 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts position 25°C as the most probable peak temperature for Moscow on September 10, 2026.** The Russian Hydrometeorological Center projects daytime readings between +24°C and +26°C under light southerly winds of 2–10 m/s, slight to variable cloud cover, and stable atmospheric pressure near 745–746 mmHg, with no precipitation expected. Multiple independent models and real-time observations converge on afternoon highs around 24–26°C (roughly 75–79°F), aligning closely with the market’s implied probabilities.
Recent data reinforce this range: southerly flow advects mild air without strong warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating that could push readings to 27°C or higher. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around the seasonal norm of about 18°C, and no major forecast revisions or model disagreements have emerged in the past 24–48 hours. Traders therefore assign the highest weight to 25°C (70.5%), with smaller probabilities for 24°C and 26°C reflecting minor uncertainties in exact peak timing, local station microclimate, or boundary-layer mixing at the official measurement site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$20,841Ngày kết thúc
Sep 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts position 25°C as the most probable peak temperature for Moscow on September 10, 2026.** The Russian Hydrometeorological Center projects daytime readings between +24°C and +26°C under light southerly winds of 2–10 m/s, slight to variable cloud cover, and stable atmospheric pressure near 745–746 mmHg, with no precipitation expected. Multiple independent models and real-time observations converge on afternoon highs around 24–26°C (roughly 75–79°F), aligning closely with the market’s implied probabilities. Recent data reinforce this range: southerly flow advects mild air without strong warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating that could push readings to 27°C or higher. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around the seasonal norm of about 18°C, and no major forecast revisions or model disagreements have emerged in the past 24–48 hours. Traders therefore assign the highest weight to 25°C (70.5%), with smaller probabilities for 24°C and 26°C reflecting minor uncertainties in exact peak timing, local station microclimate, or boundary-layer mixing at the official measurement site.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp