Recent short-range forecast model runs show notable divergence in Moscow's overnight minimum for September 10, with some guidance favoring stronger radiative cooling under clearer skies while others indicate moderating southerly flow from an Azores anticyclone that could limit the drop. This uncertainty drives the closely matched market-implied odds, particularly the 42% on 4°C or below versus 39.5% on 14°C or higher, as traders weigh historical September climatology (typical lows near 9°C) against current trends of warming after early-month cool anomalies. Key variables include wind speed, cloud cover, and dew point depression overnight; official updates from the Hydrometeorological Center or fresh ensemble runs could quickly shift consensus ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Moscow on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 10?
4°C or below 78%
14°C or higher 67%
5°C 40%
6°C 40%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 10, 2026
4°C or below
78%
5°C
40%
6°C
40%
7°C
22%
8°C
22%
9°C
24%
10°C
24%
11°C
26%
12°C
24%
13°C
22%
14°C or higher
67%
4°C or below 78%
14°C or higher 67%
5°C 40%
6°C 40%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 10, 2026
4°C or below
$30 KL.
78%
5°C
$25 KL.
40%
6°C
$0 KL.
40%
7°C
$0 KL.
22%
8°C
$0 KL.
22%
9°C
$0 KL.
24%
10°C
$0 KL.
24%
11°C
$0 KL.
26%
12°C
$0 KL.
24%
13°C
$0 KL.
22%
14°C or higher
$25 KL.
67%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast model runs show notable divergence in Moscow's overnight minimum for September 10, with some guidance favoring stronger radiative cooling under clearer skies while others indicate moderating southerly flow from an Azores anticyclone that could limit the drop. This uncertainty drives the closely matched market-implied odds, particularly the 42% on 4°C or below versus 39.5% on 14°C or higher, as traders weigh historical September climatology (typical lows near 9°C) against current trends of warming after early-month cool anomalies. Key variables include wind speed, cloud cover, and dew point depression overnight; official updates from the Hydrometeorological Center or fresh ensemble runs could quickly shift consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$80Ngày kết thúc
Sep 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast model runs show notable divergence in Moscow's overnight minimum for September 10, with some guidance favoring stronger radiative cooling under clearer skies while others indicate moderating southerly flow from an Azores anticyclone that could limit the drop. This uncertainty drives the closely matched market-implied odds, particularly the 42% on 4°C or below versus 39.5% on 14°C or higher, as traders weigh historical September climatology (typical lows near 9°C) against current trends of warming after early-month cool anomalies. Key variables include wind speed, cloud cover, and dew point depression overnight; official updates from the Hydrometeorological Center or fresh ensemble runs could quickly shift consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$80Ngày kết thúc
Sep 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecast model runs show notable divergence in Moscow's overnight minimum for September 10, with some guidance favoring stronger radiative cooling under clearer skies while others indicate moderating southerly flow from an Azores anticyclone that could limit the drop. This uncertainty drives the closely matched market-implied odds, particularly the 42% on 4°C or below versus 39.5% on 14°C or higher, as traders weigh historical September climatology (typical lows near 9°C) against current trends of warming after early-month cool anomalies. Key variables include wind speed, cloud cover, and dew point depression overnight; official updates from the Hydrometeorological Center or fresh ensemble runs could quickly shift consensus ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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