Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate Moscow's overnight low on September 9 will reach approximately 4°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and surface pressure near 748 mmHg, favoring radiational cooling after daytime highs of 20–22°C. This aligns with the market's strong consensus on 5°C (77.5% implied probability) and secondary support for 4°C, consistent with early-September climatology where average minima hover near 9°C but recent regional cooling has accelerated the seasonal drop. Model guidance shows limited variability, with no significant warm-air advection or cloud cover expected to moderate the minimum, though minor forecast revisions before resolution could shift outcomes within the narrow 4–5°C range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Moscow on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 9?
3°C 2%
2°C 1.0%
1°C <1%
0°C or below <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 9, 2026
0°C or below
<1%
1°C
1%
2°C
1%
3°C
2%
4°C
-
5°C
-
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C or higher
<1%
3°C 2%
2°C 1.0%
1°C <1%
0°C or below <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 9, 2026
0°C or below
$183 KL.
<1%
1°C
$123 KL.
1%
2°C
$40 KL.
1%
3°C
$25 KL.
2%
4°C
$44 KL.
-
5°C
$1,077 KL.
-
6°C
$141 KL.
<1%
7°C
$308 KL.
<1%
8°C
$117 KL.
<1%
9°C
$224 KL.
<1%
10°C or higher
$155 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate Moscow's overnight low on September 9 will reach approximately 4°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and surface pressure near 748 mmHg, favoring radiational cooling after daytime highs of 20–22°C. This aligns with the market's strong consensus on 5°C (77.5% implied probability) and secondary support for 4°C, consistent with early-September climatology where average minima hover near 9°C but recent regional cooling has accelerated the seasonal drop. Model guidance shows limited variability, with no significant warm-air advection or cloud cover expected to moderate the minimum, though minor forecast revisions before resolution could shift outcomes within the narrow 4–5°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,436Ngày kết thúc
Sep 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate Moscow's overnight low on September 9 will reach approximately 4°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and surface pressure near 748 mmHg, favoring radiational cooling after daytime highs of 20–22°C. This aligns with the market's strong consensus on 5°C (77.5% implied probability) and secondary support for 4°C, consistent with early-September climatology where average minima hover near 9°C but recent regional cooling has accelerated the seasonal drop. Model guidance shows limited variability, with no significant warm-air advection or cloud cover expected to moderate the minimum, though minor forecast revisions before resolution could shift outcomes within the narrow 4–5°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,436Ngày kết thúc
Sep 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate Moscow's overnight low on September 9 will reach approximately 4°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and surface pressure near 748 mmHg, favoring radiational cooling after daytime highs of 20–22°C. This aligns with the market's strong consensus on 5°C (77.5% implied probability) and secondary support for 4°C, consistent with early-September climatology where average minima hover near 9°C but recent regional cooling has accelerated the seasonal drop. Model guidance shows limited variability, with no significant warm-air advection or cloud cover expected to moderate the minimum, though minor forecast revisions before resolution could shift outcomes within the narrow 4–5°C range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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