Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a maximum of 24–26°C for Mexico City on September 9, establishing the primary driver behind the market’s concentration on 24°C and 25°C or higher outcomes. Persistent cloud cover, afternoon chubascos, and the city’s high elevation near 2,240 meters moderate surface heating during the peak of the rainy season, when typical September highs average around 25°C but convective activity often caps actual readings. Recent model runs show minor disagreements on exact peak timing and shower intensity, sustaining uncertainty between the two leading bins. Final SMN station observations will determine resolution once the day concludes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 9?
24°C 52%
25°C or higher 39%
23°C 10%
22°C 3%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
10%
24°C
52%
25°C or higher
39%
24°C 52%
25°C or higher 39%
23°C 10%
22°C 3%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
10%
24°C
52%
25°C or higher
39%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 7, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a maximum of 24–26°C for Mexico City on September 9, establishing the primary driver behind the market’s concentration on 24°C and 25°C or higher outcomes. Persistent cloud cover, afternoon chubascos, and the city’s high elevation near 2,240 meters moderate surface heating during the peak of the rainy season, when typical September highs average around 25°C but convective activity often caps actual readings. Recent model runs show minor disagreements on exact peak timing and shower intensity, sustaining uncertainty between the two leading bins. Final SMN station observations will determine resolution once the day concludes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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