Recent European model consensus from ECMWF and DWD indicates a warm overnight period for Munich on September 8, 2026, with minimum temperatures likely reaching 16–18 °C under clear skies, southerly flow, and surface pressures near 1015–1020 hPa. This setup favors radiational cooling limited by mild advection, keeping the daily low well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 11.1 °C. Market-implied odds place the greatest weight on 12 °C or below (43.5 %), reflecting residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential late-model cooling adjustments, while the 14–16 °C cluster captures secondary trader expectations. Updated runs overnight and any shifts in 850 hPa temperatures will be the key near-term drivers ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Munich on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 8?
17°C 48%
12°C or below 42%
18°C 34%
14°C 29%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 8, 2026
12°C or below
42%
13°C
28%
14°C
29%
15°C
24%
16°C
24%
17°C
48%
18°C
34%
19°C
6%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
7%
17°C 48%
12°C or below 42%
18°C 34%
14°C 29%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 8, 2026
12°C or below
$0 KL.
42%
13°C
$0 KL.
28%
14°C
$0 KL.
29%
15°C
$158 KL.
24%
16°C
$157 KL.
24%
17°C
$0 KL.
48%
18°C
$0 KL.
34%
19°C
$0 KL.
6%
20°C
$0 KL.
1%
21°C
$0 KL.
2%
22°C or higher
$0 KL.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model consensus from ECMWF and DWD indicates a warm overnight period for Munich on September 8, 2026, with minimum temperatures likely reaching 16–18 °C under clear skies, southerly flow, and surface pressures near 1015–1020 hPa. This setup favors radiational cooling limited by mild advection, keeping the daily low well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 11.1 °C. Market-implied odds place the greatest weight on 12 °C or below (43.5 %), reflecting residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential late-model cooling adjustments, while the 14–16 °C cluster captures secondary trader expectations. Updated runs overnight and any shifts in 850 hPa temperatures will be the key near-term drivers ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$315Ngày kết thúc
Sep 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model consensus from ECMWF and DWD indicates a warm overnight period for Munich on September 8, 2026, with minimum temperatures likely reaching 16–18 °C under clear skies, southerly flow, and surface pressures near 1015–1020 hPa. This setup favors radiational cooling limited by mild advection, keeping the daily low well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 11.1 °C. Market-implied odds place the greatest weight on 12 °C or below (43.5 %), reflecting residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential late-model cooling adjustments, while the 14–16 °C cluster captures secondary trader expectations. Updated runs overnight and any shifts in 850 hPa temperatures will be the key near-term drivers ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$315Ngày kết thúc
Sep 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent European model consensus from ECMWF and DWD indicates a warm overnight period for Munich on September 8, 2026, with minimum temperatures likely reaching 16–18 °C under clear skies, southerly flow, and surface pressures near 1015–1020 hPa. This setup favors radiational cooling limited by mild advection, keeping the daily low well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 11.1 °C. Market-implied odds place the greatest weight on 12 °C or below (43.5 %), reflecting residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential late-model cooling adjustments, while the 14–16 °C cluster captures secondary trader expectations. Updated runs overnight and any shifts in 850 hPa temperatures will be the key near-term drivers ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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