Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for September 9, with a daily range of 27–31°C under the influence of an approaching northeast monsoon that is gradually lowering temperatures across southern China. This aligns with the market's leading implied probability on 27°C, as the monsoon flow and east-to-northeast winds of force 3–4 are expected to limit overnight cooling while isolated showers keep humidity elevated. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 24°C, yet current model consensus and the absence of stronger cooling signals support the tight clustering around 26–27°C outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the reliability of the official guidance against potential local variations from cloud cover or brief showers ahead of the next forecast update.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
27°C 49%
26°C 28%
28°C 13%
25°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 9, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
9%
26°C
28%
27°C
49%
28°C
13%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 49%
26°C 28%
28°C 13%
25°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 9, 2026
21°C or below
$95 KL.
<1%
22°C
$116 KL.
<1%
23°C
$133 KL.
1%
24°C
$56 KL.
2%
25°C
$175 KL.
9%
26°C
$596 KL.
28%
27°C
$1,200 KL.
49%
28°C
$581 KL.
13%
29°C
$56 KL.
1%
30°C
$133 KL.
<1%
31°C or higher
$111 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for September 9, with a daily range of 27–31°C under the influence of an approaching northeast monsoon that is gradually lowering temperatures across southern China. This aligns with the market's leading implied probability on 27°C, as the monsoon flow and east-to-northeast winds of force 3–4 are expected to limit overnight cooling while isolated showers keep humidity elevated. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 24°C, yet current model consensus and the absence of stronger cooling signals support the tight clustering around 26–27°C outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the reliability of the official guidance against potential local variations from cloud cover or brief showers ahead of the next forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,251Ngày kết thúc
Sep 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for September 9, with a daily range of 27–31°C under the influence of an approaching northeast monsoon that is gradually lowering temperatures across southern China. This aligns with the market's leading implied probability on 27°C, as the monsoon flow and east-to-northeast winds of force 3–4 are expected to limit overnight cooling while isolated showers keep humidity elevated. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 24°C, yet current model consensus and the absence of stronger cooling signals support the tight clustering around 26–27°C outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the reliability of the official guidance against potential local variations from cloud cover or brief showers ahead of the next forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$3,251Ngày kết thúc
Sep 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for September 9, with a daily range of 27–31°C under the influence of an approaching northeast monsoon that is gradually lowering temperatures across southern China. This aligns with the market's leading implied probability on 27°C, as the monsoon flow and east-to-northeast winds of force 3–4 are expected to limit overnight cooling while isolated showers keep humidity elevated. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 24°C, yet current model consensus and the absence of stronger cooling signals support the tight clustering around 26–27°C outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the reliability of the official guidance against potential local variations from cloud cover or brief showers ahead of the next forecast update.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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