Recent forecast model runs from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute, Yr.no, and GFS ensembles show overnight lows in Helsinki for September 10 clustered between 11–14 °C, with limited radiative cooling expected under persistent cloud cover and southwesterly flow. This keeps probabilities for 11–12 °C outcomes elevated while supporting the notable share for 7 °C or below if clearer skies develop late in the period. Historical climatology places the average minimum near 10 °C, but current steering patterns and dew-point forecasts favor milder boundary-layer conditions. Traders are weighting the spread in model guidance on cloud timing and wind shifts ahead of the next update cycle.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Helsinki on September 10?
7°C or below 72%
8°C 39%
13°C 39%
15°C 39%
7°C or below
72%
8°C
39%
9°C
22%
10°C
22%
11°C
26%
12°C
33%
13°C
39%
14°C
29%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C or higher
11%
7°C or below 72%
8°C 39%
13°C 39%
15°C 39%
7°C or below
72%
8°C
39%
9°C
22%
10°C
22%
11°C
26%
12°C
33%
13°C
39%
14°C
29%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute, Yr.no, and GFS ensembles show overnight lows in Helsinki for September 10 clustered between 11–14 °C, with limited radiative cooling expected under persistent cloud cover and southwesterly flow. This keeps probabilities for 11–12 °C outcomes elevated while supporting the notable share for 7 °C or below if clearer skies develop late in the period. Historical climatology places the average minimum near 10 °C, but current steering patterns and dew-point forecasts favor milder boundary-layer conditions. Traders are weighting the spread in model guidance on cloud timing and wind shifts ahead of the next update cycle.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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