Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) rains and associated cloud cover over Metro Manila are the primary drivers keeping implied probabilities clustered around 23–25°C for the September 10 minimum. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple forecast models indicate overnight lows near 25–26°C under continued cloudy, humid conditions with light to moderate southwest winds, limiting radiational cooling. High humidity and persistent cloudiness reduce the potential for sharper overnight drops below 24°C, while the absence of a direct tropical cyclone keeps extremes unlikely. Model consensus and climatological baselines for early-September Manila support this range, with any shift in monsoon intensity or clearing skies the key variables that could alter the lowest reading before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Manila on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Manila on September 10?
20°C or below 65%
28°C 37%
29°C 37%
24°C 29%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 10, 2026
20°C or below
65%
21°C
4%
22°C
9%
23°C
24%
24°C
29%
25°C
28%
26°C
21%
27°C
14%
28°C
37%
29°C
37%
30°C or higher
12%
20°C or below 65%
28°C 37%
29°C 37%
24°C 29%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 10, 2026
20°C or below
$25 KL.
65%
21°C
$87 KL.
4%
22°C
$30 KL.
9%
23°C
$20 KL.
24%
24°C
$0 KL.
29%
25°C
$0 KL.
28%
26°C
$0 KL.
21%
27°C
$0 KL.
14%
28°C
$25 KL.
37%
29°C
$50 KL.
37%
30°C or higher
$25 KL.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) rains and associated cloud cover over Metro Manila are the primary drivers keeping implied probabilities clustered around 23–25°C for the September 10 minimum. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple forecast models indicate overnight lows near 25–26°C under continued cloudy, humid conditions with light to moderate southwest winds, limiting radiational cooling. High humidity and persistent cloudiness reduce the potential for sharper overnight drops below 24°C, while the absence of a direct tropical cyclone keeps extremes unlikely. Model consensus and climatological baselines for early-September Manila support this range, with any shift in monsoon intensity or clearing skies the key variables that could alter the lowest reading before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$262Ngày kết thúc
Sep 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) rains and associated cloud cover over Metro Manila are the primary drivers keeping implied probabilities clustered around 23–25°C for the September 10 minimum. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple forecast models indicate overnight lows near 25–26°C under continued cloudy, humid conditions with light to moderate southwest winds, limiting radiational cooling. High humidity and persistent cloudiness reduce the potential for sharper overnight drops below 24°C, while the absence of a direct tropical cyclone keeps extremes unlikely. Model consensus and climatological baselines for early-September Manila support this range, with any shift in monsoon intensity or clearing skies the key variables that could alter the lowest reading before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$262Ngày kết thúc
Sep 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) rains and associated cloud cover over Metro Manila are the primary drivers keeping implied probabilities clustered around 23–25°C for the September 10 minimum. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple forecast models indicate overnight lows near 25–26°C under continued cloudy, humid conditions with light to moderate southwest winds, limiting radiational cooling. High humidity and persistent cloudiness reduce the potential for sharper overnight drops below 24°C, while the absence of a direct tropical cyclone keeps extremes unlikely. Model consensus and climatological baselines for early-September Manila support this range, with any shift in monsoon intensity or clearing skies the key variables that could alter the lowest reading before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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