**Forecast models from sources including the South African Weather Service and international ensembles point to a September 10 minimum in Cape Town near 12–15 °C, shaped by moderate southerly winds and increasing overnight cloud cover that limits radiative cooling.** Persistent south to south-easterly flow promotes mixing of the boundary layer while marine air influence keeps temperatures from dropping sharply. Recent days have featured above-normal warmth, with minima several degrees milder than the September climatological average of roughly 9–11 °C, yet traders assign the highest probability (34 %) to 9 °C or below, reflecting residual model spread on wind strength and cloud timing. Key resolution thresholds hinge on the precise overnight low recorded at official stations, where even small shifts in dew-point depression or wind gusts can move the outcome across adjacent degree bins. Updated model runs overnight will clarify whether conditions trend cooler or remain near the current consensus range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Cape Town on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on September 10?
9°C or below 74%
15°C 40%
11°C 39%
13°C 27%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 10, 2026
9°C or below
74%
10°C
12%
11°C
39%
12°C
23%
13°C
27%
14°C
26%
15°C
25%
16°C
22%
17°C
8%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
9%
9°C or below 74%
15°C 40%
11°C 39%
13°C 27%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 10, 2026
9°C or below
$30 KL.
74%
10°C
$30 KL.
12%
11°C
$0 KL.
39%
12°C
$0 KL.
23%
13°C
$0 KL.
27%
14°C
$0 KL.
26%
15°C
$5 KL.
25%
16°C
$0 KL.
22%
17°C
$25 KL.
8%
18°C
$25 KL.
<1%
19°C or higher
$26 KL.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including the South African Weather Service and international ensembles point to a September 10 minimum in Cape Town near 12–15 °C, shaped by moderate southerly winds and increasing overnight cloud cover that limits radiative cooling.** Persistent south to south-easterly flow promotes mixing of the boundary layer while marine air influence keeps temperatures from dropping sharply. Recent days have featured above-normal warmth, with minima several degrees milder than the September climatological average of roughly 9–11 °C, yet traders assign the highest probability (34 %) to 9 °C or below, reflecting residual model spread on wind strength and cloud timing. Key resolution thresholds hinge on the precise overnight low recorded at official stations, where even small shifts in dew-point depression or wind gusts can move the outcome across adjacent degree bins. Updated model runs overnight will clarify whether conditions trend cooler or remain near the current consensus range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$142Ngày kết thúc
Sep 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including the South African Weather Service and international ensembles point to a September 10 minimum in Cape Town near 12–15 °C, shaped by moderate southerly winds and increasing overnight cloud cover that limits radiative cooling.** Persistent south to south-easterly flow promotes mixing of the boundary layer while marine air influence keeps temperatures from dropping sharply. Recent days have featured above-normal warmth, with minima several degrees milder than the September climatological average of roughly 9–11 °C, yet traders assign the highest probability (34 %) to 9 °C or below, reflecting residual model spread on wind strength and cloud timing. Key resolution thresholds hinge on the precise overnight low recorded at official stations, where even small shifts in dew-point depression or wind gusts can move the outcome across adjacent degree bins. Updated model runs overnight will clarify whether conditions trend cooler or remain near the current consensus range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$142Ngày kết thúc
Sep 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including the South African Weather Service and international ensembles point to a September 10 minimum in Cape Town near 12–15 °C, shaped by moderate southerly winds and increasing overnight cloud cover that limits radiative cooling.** Persistent south to south-easterly flow promotes mixing of the boundary layer while marine air influence keeps temperatures from dropping sharply. Recent days have featured above-normal warmth, with minima several degrees milder than the September climatological average of roughly 9–11 °C, yet traders assign the highest probability (34 %) to 9 °C or below, reflecting residual model spread on wind strength and cloud timing. Key resolution thresholds hinge on the precise overnight low recorded at official stations, where even small shifts in dew-point depression or wind gusts can move the outcome across adjacent degree bins. Updated model runs overnight will clarify whether conditions trend cooler or remain near the current consensus range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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