**Trader sentiment for Kuala Lumpur’s September 10 overnight minimum reflects substantial uncertainty around typical equatorial cooling processes.** Forecasts from sources such as Yr.no and WeatherBug indicate an expected low near 24–27 °C (75–81 °F), driven by high humidity (often >90 %), light winds, and frequent cloud cover or showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. The elevated 42 % market-implied probability on 20 °C or below likely incorporates model variability, potential for localized heavier rainfall enhancing evaporative cooling, or measurement specifics at the resolving station. In contrast, the 33 % on 30 °C or higher and clustered mid-20s outcomes capture the region’s historical September baseline (average lows ~22–24 °C) and the stabilizing influence of urban heat and consistent moisture. With resolution imminent, the closely matched probabilities highlight traders’ weighting of short-term forecast shifts against climatological norms.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on September 10?
20°C or below 94%
22°C 40%
25°C 26%
26°C 24%
20°C or below
94%
21°C
15%
22°C
40%
23°C
22%
24°C
22%
25°C
26%
26°C
24%
27°C
22%
28°C
8%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
-
20°C or below 94%
22°C 40%
25°C 26%
26°C 24%
20°C or below
94%
21°C
15%
22°C
40%
23°C
22%
24°C
22%
25°C
26%
26°C
24%
27°C
22%
28°C
8%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
-
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Kuala Lumpur’s September 10 overnight minimum reflects substantial uncertainty around typical equatorial cooling processes.** Forecasts from sources such as Yr.no and WeatherBug indicate an expected low near 24–27 °C (75–81 °F), driven by high humidity (often >90 %), light winds, and frequent cloud cover or showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. The elevated 42 % market-implied probability on 20 °C or below likely incorporates model variability, potential for localized heavier rainfall enhancing evaporative cooling, or measurement specifics at the resolving station. In contrast, the 33 % on 30 °C or higher and clustered mid-20s outcomes capture the region’s historical September baseline (average lows ~22–24 °C) and the stabilizing influence of urban heat and consistent moisture. With resolution imminent, the closely matched probabilities highlight traders’ weighting of short-term forecast shifts against climatological norms.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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