Recent monsoon onset across Pakistan, with official forecasts indicating increased moisture, cloud cover, and possible light rain or drizzle in Karachi by July 3–5, forms the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring a daily maximum near 34–35 °C. Typical early-July climatology shows highs averaging 32–33 °C, but reduced solar heating from convective activity and higher humidity can suppress peaks below seasonal norms while limiting extreme heat. Model consensus from agencies like the Pakistan Meteorological Department highlights steering patterns and moisture influx as key variables, with any delayed or weaker monsoon pulse potentially allowing clearer skies and a 36 °C or higher outcome. Traders weigh these uncertainties ahead of final observational data on July 5.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Karachi on July 5?
Highest temperature in Karachi on July 5?
35°C 42%
34°C 26%
36°C 20%
37°C 7.4%
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 5, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
26%
35°C
42%
36°C
20%
37°C
7%
38°C or higher
1%
35°C 42%
34°C 26%
36°C 20%
37°C 7.4%
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 5, 2026
28°C or below
$192 KL.
<1%
29°C
$184 KL.
<1%
30°C
$277 KL.
1%
31°C
$268 KL.
1%
32°C
$200 KL.
1%
33°C
$223 KL.
4%
34°C
$481 KL.
26%
35°C
$2,493 KL.
42%
36°C
$436 KL.
20%
37°C
$311 KL.
7%
38°C or higher
$166 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon onset across Pakistan, with official forecasts indicating increased moisture, cloud cover, and possible light rain or drizzle in Karachi by July 3–5, forms the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring a daily maximum near 34–35 °C. Typical early-July climatology shows highs averaging 32–33 °C, but reduced solar heating from convective activity and higher humidity can suppress peaks below seasonal norms while limiting extreme heat. Model consensus from agencies like the Pakistan Meteorological Department highlights steering patterns and moisture influx as key variables, with any delayed or weaker monsoon pulse potentially allowing clearer skies and a 36 °C or higher outcome. Traders weigh these uncertainties ahead of final observational data on July 5.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$5,230Ngày kết thúc
Jul 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon onset across Pakistan, with official forecasts indicating increased moisture, cloud cover, and possible light rain or drizzle in Karachi by July 3–5, forms the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring a daily maximum near 34–35 °C. Typical early-July climatology shows highs averaging 32–33 °C, but reduced solar heating from convective activity and higher humidity can suppress peaks below seasonal norms while limiting extreme heat. Model consensus from agencies like the Pakistan Meteorological Department highlights steering patterns and moisture influx as key variables, with any delayed or weaker monsoon pulse potentially allowing clearer skies and a 36 °C or higher outcome. Traders weigh these uncertainties ahead of final observational data on July 5.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$5,230Ngày kết thúc
Jul 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon onset across Pakistan, with official forecasts indicating increased moisture, cloud cover, and possible light rain or drizzle in Karachi by July 3–5, forms the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring a daily maximum near 34–35 °C. Typical early-July climatology shows highs averaging 32–33 °C, but reduced solar heating from convective activity and higher humidity can suppress peaks below seasonal norms while limiting extreme heat. Model consensus from agencies like the Pakistan Meteorological Department highlights steering patterns and moisture influx as key variables, with any delayed or weaker monsoon pulse potentially allowing clearer skies and a 36 °C or higher outcome. Traders weigh these uncertainties ahead of final observational data on July 5.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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